Skip to main content
WSWorthington Steel, Inc.Sell5.0·$33.90+0.44%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Worthington Steel is a value-priced steel processor with a Piotroski score of 7/9 and moderate peer ranking, but the business quality is below the minimum floor at 3.2, earnings have been mixed with 2 recent misses, and heavy automotive customer concentration leaves the company exposed to cyclical demand risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Customer ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • Target Exceeded Negative AsymmetryDeteriorating
  • Quality Floor FailureDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Worthington Steel, Inc. (WS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.90: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Worthington Steel is a value-added processor of carbon flat-rolled steel, electrical steel laminations, and laser-welded tailor welded products for automotive, construction, and industrial customers, operating 28 manufacturing facilities across the U.S., Canada, China, India,... Read more

$33.90+15.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.25%
IncomeYield1.89%Payout376.47%at-risk
Stop $32.28Target $39.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$46.00+35.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.90: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and materials cycle peak fwd=7.0x,ratio=0.03x. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Worthington Steel, Inc.

About Worthington Steel, Inc.

Worthington Steel processes carbon flat-rolled steel into precision products, purchasing approximately 2.44 million tons of steel in fiscal 2025 (70% hot-rolled, 20% cold-rolled, 10% galvanized) and running it through 28 manufacturing facilities in the U.S. (19), Canada (2), China, India, Germany, and Mexico (4). Automotive-related customers account for approximately 52% of net sales, and the company's top three customers represented about 33% of total net sales in fiscal 2025.

Revenue comes from both direct-sale steel processing — pickling, re-rolling, hot-dip galvanizing, blanking, slitting, and cutting-to-length performed to customer specification — and toll processing, where the customer retains title to the steel and pays Worthington Steel a service fee without the company carrying inventory risk. Electrical Steel Laminations, made for automotive (including electric vehicles), industrial motor, generator, and transformer customers, and Tailor Welded Products, laser- and friction-stir-welded blanks that reduce vehicle weight for automotive assemblers, supplement the core carbon flat-rolled business. Worthington Steel buys steel from major domestic and foreign mills including Cleveland-Cliffs, Nucor, Steel Dynamics, and United States Steel, and operates joint ventures — Spartan (52%-owned, automotive coating), TWB (55%-owned, tailor welded blanks), and the unconsolidated Serviacero Worthington (50%-owned, Mexico) — that extend its processing footprint. On June 3, 2025, the company acquired a 52% controlling stake in Italy-based Sitem Group, adding processing locations in Italy, France, Slovakia, and Switzerland.

Show full overview

Steel-tariff policy is a swing factor for Worthington Steel: Section 232 tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, doubled to 50% effective June 4, 2025, currently discourage import competition and support domestic pricing, but the 10-K notes that if these measures are later relaxed or repealed, a resurgence of foreign steel imports could pressure U.S. metal prices. That tariff exposure compounds a customer-side risk tied to the Detroit Three automakers, whose production idling or a future UAW work stoppage could reduce demand given that automotive-related customers account for roughly 52% of net sales — a dependency the 10-K flags separately from the tariff discussion.

See also: Basic Materials · Steel

From Worthington Steel, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 23, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 6, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.03× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Concentration risk — Product: automotive (52.0%)
Concentration risk — Commodity: hot-rolled steel (70.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)199.4
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE-1.0%
Rev Growth11.6%
Beta2.25
Dividend1.89%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C6.50bearish
IV93%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductautomotive52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The automotive and construction industries account for approximately 52.0% and 11.0%, respectfully, of our net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop three customers33%
    10-K Item 1: 'During fiscal 2025, our top three customers represented approximately 33.0% of total net sales.'
  • LOWProductconstruction11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The automotive and construction industries account for approximately 52.0% and 11.0%, respectfully, of our net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomerDetroit Three automakers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Although we do sell to the domestic operations of foreign automakers and their suppliers, a significant portion of our automotive sales are to the Detroit Three automakers and their suppliers.'
  • HIGHCommodityhot-rolled steel70%
    10-K Item 1: 'During fiscal 2025, we purchased approximately 2.44 million tons of steel (70% hot-rolled, 20% cold-rolled and 10% galvanized).'
  • MEDIUMSupplierzinc
    10-K Item 1A: 'For certain raw materials, such as, zinc, there are limited suppliers and our purchases are generally at market prices.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.8
Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.1
Operating Margin
2.3
Roa
2.9
Current Ratio
5.4
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5MATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=7.0x,ratio=0.03xA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.28Resistance $38.56

Price Targets

$32
$39
A.Upside+15.3%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=7.0x,ratio=0.03x

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-06 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.90: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 6.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.28. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.10 (+15.3% upside). Prior stop was $32.28. Stop-loss: $32.28.

What are the risks of investing in WS?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.03× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Concentration risk — Product: automotive (52.0%); Concentration risk — Commodity: hot-rolled steel (70.0%).

Is WS overvalued or undervalued?

Worthington Steel, Inc. trades at a P/E of 199.4 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WS?

10 analysts cover WS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Worthington Steel, Inc. do?Worthington Steel is a value-added processor of carbon flat-rolled steel, electrical steel laminations, and...

Worthington Steel is a value-added processor of carbon flat-rolled steel, electrical steel laminations, and laser-welded tailor welded products for automotive, construction, and industrial customers, operating 28 manufacturing facilities across the U.S., Canada, China, India, Germany, and Mexico. The company purchased approximately 2.44 million tons of steel in fiscal 2025 (70% hot-rolled), with automotive representing 52% of net sales and its top three customers accounting for approximately 33%.

Related stocks: NWPX (NWPX Infrastructure, Inc.) · GGB (Gerdau S.A.) · SIM (Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V.) · SID (Companhia Siderurgica Nacional ) · MTUS (Metallus Inc.)
Home Stocks WS

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga5d agoRestructuring
Benzinga54d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga61d agoRestructuring
Benzinga80d agoEarnings
Benzinga81d agoEarnings
Benzinga81d agoEarnings
Benzinga81d agoEarnings
Benzinga82d agoEarnings
Benzinga103d agoAnalyst
Benzinga108d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga108d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga110d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga150d ago