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WSWorthington Steel, Inc.Sell4.8·$40.80-2.13%
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Worthington Steel, Inc. (WS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.80: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Worthington Steel processes carbon flat-rolled steel and produces electrical steel laminations and laser-welded blanks at 28 manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, Germany, India, China, and Mexico. In fiscal 2025, the company purchased 2.44 million tons of steel, serving... Read more

$40.80+8.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#9 of 10 Steel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.05%
IncomeYield1.54%Payout26.67%sustainable
Stop $37.80Target $44.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$38.00-6.9%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.80: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jun 24, 20268d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: automotive-related customers (52.0%)
Target reached (-20.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta2.20
Dividend1.54%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV93%elevated
Max Pain$50+22.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerautomotive-related customers52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 52% of our net sales are to automotive-related customers'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop three customers33%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top three customers represented approximately 33.0% of total net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.1
Operating Margin
0.7
Net Margin
1.8
Roa
3.2
Roe
3.5
Current Ratio
5.5
Moat
6.4
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 1% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.2
Volume
4.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.08Resistance $44.94

Price Targets

$38
$44
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-24 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.80: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $37.80. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.04 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $37.80. Stop-loss: $37.80.

What are the risks of investing in WS?

Concentration risk — Customer: automotive-related customers (52.0%); Target reached (-20.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is WS overvalued or undervalued?

Worthington Steel, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WS?

10 analysts cover WS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Worthington Steel, Inc. do?Worthington Steel processes carbon flat-rolled steel and produces electrical steel laminations and laser-welded blanks...

Worthington Steel processes carbon flat-rolled steel and produces electrical steel laminations and laser-welded blanks at 28 manufacturing facilities in the US, Canada, Germany, India, China, and Mexico. In fiscal 2025, the company purchased 2.44 million tons of steel, serving ~1,200 customers across automotive (52% of net sales), construction (11%), and other end markets, with its top three customers accounting for approximately 33% of total net sales.

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