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MTUSMetallus Inc.Sell4.6·$17.50-2.94%
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Metallus Inc. (MTUS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.50: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Metallus Inc. manufactures and sells alloy steel, and carbon and micro-alloy steel products in the United States and internationally. It provides special bar quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision steel components, and billets that are used in gears, hubs,... Read more

$17.50+9.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#12 of 13 Steel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-6.33%
Stop $16.88Target $19.12(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$22.50+28.6%2 analysts
$19.12our TP
$17.50price
$22.50mean
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.50: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)250.0
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$728M
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE0.4%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Value Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.1
Net Margin
0.1
Roa
0.3
Operating Margin
1.0
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
6.2
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -1594% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.40Resistance $21.21

Price Targets

$17
$19
A.Upside+9.3%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTUS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.50: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.88. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MTUS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.12 (+9.3% upside). Prior stop was $16.88. Stop-loss: $16.88.

What are the risks of investing in MTUS?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is MTUS overvalued or undervalued?

Metallus Inc. trades at a P/E of 250.0 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MTUS?

8 analysts cover MTUS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Metallus Inc. do?Metallus Inc. manufactures and sells alloy steel, and carbon and micro-alloy steel products in the United States and...

Metallus Inc. manufactures and sells alloy steel, and carbon and micro-alloy steel products in the United States and internationally. It provides special bar quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision steel components, and billets that are used in gears, hubs, axles, crankshafts and motor shafts, oil country drill pipes, bits and collars, bearing races and rolling elements, bushings, fuel injectors, wind energy shafts, anti-friction bearings, artillery and mortar bodies, and other applications. The company also offers customized precision steel components. It offers its products and services to the automotive, energy, industrial equipment, mining, construction, rail, aerospace and defense, heavy truck, agriculture, and power generation sectors. The company was formerly known as TimkenSteel Corporation and changed its name to Metallus Inc. in February 2024. Metallus Inc. was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Canton, Ohio.

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