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WSWorthington Steel, Inc.Sell5.0·$42.71
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Worthington Steel is a value-priced steel processor with a Piotroski score of 7/9 and moderate peer ranking, but the business quality is below the minimum floor at 3.2, earnings have been mixed with 2 recent misses, and heavy automotive customer concentration leaves the company exposed to cyclical demand risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Automotive Customer Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Target Exceeded Negative Asymmetry↓Deteriorating
  • Quality Floor Failure↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jul 30, 2026

Full reasoning →

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Worthington Steel, Inc. (WS) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Steel

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.71: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality.

Worthington Steel processes carbon flat-rolled steel and makes electrical steel laminations and laser-welded blanks for about 1,500 customers in automotive, construction, machinery and agriculture, using 34 manufacturing facilities and earning direct-sale and toll-processing... Read more

$42.71-8.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#14 of 14 Steel
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-67.01%
IncomeYield1.52%Payout376.47%at-risk
Stop $39.72Analyst target $39.10(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$46.00+7.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.71: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Worthington Steel, Inc.

About Worthington Steel, Inc.

Worthington Steel's automotive and construction end markets accounted for approximately 52% and 11% of net sales, respectively, in fiscal 2025, when the company purchased about 2.44 million tons of steel — 70% hot-rolled, 20% cold-rolled and 10% galvanized — to run 28 manufacturing facilities across the U.S. (19), Canada (2), China, India, Germany, and Mexico (4).

Worthington Steel earns revenue primarily through direct sale of processed steel, priced on a mix of fixed and index-based supply terms, alongside toll processing where customers retain title to the steel and pay a processing fee without the company carrying inventory risk. Its top three customers represented approximately 33% of total net sales in fiscal 2025, and roughly 52% of net sales flowed to automotive-related customers, including a significant portion tied to the Detroit Three automakers and their suppliers. The company purchases flat-rolled steel from major mills including Cleveland-Cliffs, Nucor, Steel Dynamics, and United States Steel, and sources zinc from a small group of suppliers such as Glencore and Teck Resources at market prices. Contracts with both customers and suppliers are generally short-term or order-by-order rather than long-term, which the filing notes has historically allowed relationships to be replaced without significant business interruption.

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One angle distinct from customer or end-market mix is regulatory exposure tied to climate policy: Worthington Steel is tracking compliance obligations under the European Union's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive, alongside California's Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act and Climate-Related Financial Risk Act, any of which could raise compliance costs or metal and utility prices across its footprint. Separately, Section 232 tariffs on imported steel and aluminum were doubled to 50% effective June 4, 2025, a level the filing warns could reverse and pressure domestic steel prices downward if legal challenge, legislation, or executive action later relaxes the measure.

See also: Basic Materials · Steel

From Worthington Steel, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 30, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28

Recent Developments — Worthington Steel, Inc.

Generated 2026-10-28T12:03:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 16, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.5% upside)
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA20.0
Profit Mgn-0.7%
ROE-3.4%
Rev Growth212.4%
Beta2.23
Dividend1.52%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop three automotive customers35%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top three customers, each of whom is in the automotive industry, represented approximately 34.5% of total net sales'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Roa
1.7
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
6.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -28% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
7.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.62Resistance $43.99

Price Targets

A.Upside-8.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-16 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.71: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $39.72. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WS stock price target?

Analyst target $39.10 reached (−8.5% from $42.71); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $39.72. Stop-loss: $39.72.

What are the risks of investing in WS?

Target reached (-8.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is WS overvalued or undervalued?

Worthington Steel, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WS?

10 analysts cover WS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Worthington Steel, Inc. do?Worthington Steel processes carbon flat-rolled steel and makes electrical steel laminations and laser-welded blanks for...

Worthington Steel processes carbon flat-rolled steel and makes electrical steel laminations and laser-welded blanks for about 1,500 customers in automotive, construction, machinery and agriculture, using 34 manufacturing facilities and earning direct-sale and toll-processing revenue. Its top three automotive customers were approximately 34.5% of fiscal 2026 net sales. It acquired control of Klöckner & Co in June 2026.

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