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WLTHWealthfront CorporationHold5.5·$8.88-1.11%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wealthfront Corporation offers compelling valuation at a forward price-to-earnings ratio near 11x and substantial analyst upside, but severe price momentum deterioration with RSI near 21 and two consecutive earnings misses create near-term downside risk that must be resolved before the fundamental case can take hold.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low Forward PeStable
  • Momentum Capitulation RiskDeteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wealthfront Corporation (WLTH) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%); Negative momentum.

Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It also caters to high net worth individuals, charitable organizations, and corporations. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income funds. It also... Read more

$8.88+20.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#90 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $8.26Target $10.73(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$12.33+38.9%6 analysts
$10.73our TP
$8.88price
$12.33mean
$17

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA-7.1
Profit Mgn-14.9%
ROE-12.9%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV97%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductcash management product74%
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025, revenue from our cash management product constituted approximately 74% and 75% of our total revenue, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductinvestment advisory products25%
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025, revenue from our investment advisory products constituted approximately 25% and 24% of our total revenue, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Macd
6.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $8.01Resistance $9.70

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+20.8%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLTH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $10.73 (+20.8%), stop $8.26 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.73 (+20.8% upside). Target $10.73 (+20.8%), stop $8.26 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $8.26.

What are the risks of investing in WLTH?

Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%); Negative momentum.

Is WLTH overvalued or undervalued?

Wealthfront Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WLTH?

13 analysts cover WLTH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Wealthfront Corporation do?Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It...

Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It also caters to high net worth individuals, charitable organizations, and corporations. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income funds. It also invests in mutual funds and exchange traded funds. It conducts in-house research to make its investments. Wealthfront Corporation was formerly known as Wealthfront Inc. and is based in Redwood City, California with an additional office in Palo Alto, California.

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