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WLTHWealthfront CorporationSell5.9·$9.37+4.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wealthfront Corporation offers compelling valuation at a forward price-to-earnings ratio near 11x and substantial analyst upside, but severe price momentum deterioration with RSI near 21 and two consecutive earnings misses create near-term downside risk that must be resolved before the fundamental case can take hold.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low Forward PeStable
  • Momentum Capitulation RiskStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wealthfront Corporation (WLTH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 5 days (2026-09-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.37: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate.

Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It also caters to high net worth individuals, charitable organizations, and corporations. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income funds. It also... Read more

$9.37+14.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#49 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $8.79Target $10.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$12.25+30.7%6 analysts
$10.66our TP
$9.37price
$12.25mean
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.37: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%)
Heavy insider selling (2.4 < 2.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA-7.6
Profit Mgn-14.9%
ROE-12.9%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$8-20.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductcash management product74%
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025, revenue from our cash management product constituted approximately 74% and 75% of our total revenue, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductinvestment advisory products25%
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025, revenue from our investment advisory products constituted approximately 25% and 24% of our total revenue, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Insiders leaning net-seller recently. Could be diversification/taxes rather than view, but the signal is not supportive.static

Holder Change
0.0
Insider Conviction
2.0
Notable Moves
3.0
Materiality
4.5
Modest insider selling — $1,335,998 (0.096% of mkt cap)Institutions reducing

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.5
Bollinger
4.4
Support Resistance
4.7
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $8.78Resistance $9.82

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+14.2%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Heavy insider selling (2.4 < 2.5)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLTH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.37: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $8.79. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.66 (+14.2% upside). Prior stop was $8.79. Stop-loss: $8.79.

What are the risks of investing in WLTH?

Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%); Heavy insider selling (2.4 < 2.5).

Is WLTH overvalued or undervalued?

Wealthfront Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WLTH?

13 analysts cover WLTH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Wealthfront Corporation do?Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It...

Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It also caters to high net worth individuals, charitable organizations, and corporations. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income funds. It also invests in mutual funds and exchange traded funds. It conducts in-house research to make its investments. Wealthfront Corporation was formerly known as Wealthfront Inc. and is based in Redwood City, California with an additional office in Palo Alto, California.

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