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WLTHWealthfront CorporationSell5.0·$9.57+4.70%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wealthfront Corporation offers compelling valuation at a forward price-to-earnings ratio near 11x and substantial analyst upside, but severe price momentum deterioration with RSI near 21 and two consecutive earnings misses create near-term downside risk that must be resolved before the fundamental case can take hold.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Low Forward PeStable
  • Momentum Capitulation RiskStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Wealthfront Corporation (WLTH) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. At $9.57, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%).

Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It also caters to high net worth individuals, charitable organizations, and corporations. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income funds. It also... Read more

$9.57+14.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#113 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $8.88Target $10.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$12.58+31.5%6 analysts
$10.95our TP
$9.57price
$12.58mean
$17

Sell if holding. At $9.57, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA-7.4
Profit Mgn-14.9%
ROE-12.9%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C5.50bearish
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductcash management product74%
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025, revenue from our cash management product constituted approximately 74% and 75% of our total revenue, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMProductinvestment advisory products25%
    10-K Item 1: 'For fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2025, revenue from our investment advisory products constituted approximately 25% and 24% of our total revenue, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
2.8
Support Resistance
3.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
4.2
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $7.79Resistance $10.50

Price Targets

$9
$11
A.Upside+14.4%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLTH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $9.57, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.88. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the WLTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.95 (+14.7% upside). Prior stop was $8.88. Stop-loss: $8.88.

What are the risks of investing in WLTH?

Concentration risk — Product: cash management product (74.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is WLTH overvalued or undervalued?

Wealthfront Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WLTH?

13 analysts cover WLTH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Wealthfront Corporation do?Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It...

Wealthfront Corporation is a privately owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to individuals. It also caters to high net worth individuals, charitable organizations, and corporations. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income funds. It also invests in mutual funds and exchange traded funds. It conducts in-house research to make its investments. Wealthfront Corporation was formerly known as Wealthfront Inc. and is based in Redwood City, California with an additional office in Palo Alto, California.

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