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WFRDWeatherford International plcHold5.7·$83.01+3.49%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Weatherford International has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of 21%, carries a 31% return on equity, and trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 13.3x — but weak price momentum, a 21% analyst upside projection that is not yet reflected in the stock's current trajectory, and an elevated put/call ratio suggest patience is required.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Return On EquityStable
  • Strong Earnings Beat MomentumStable
  • Weak Momentum Elevated Put CallStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Weatherford International provides drilling, well construction, and production services to oil and gas operators across approximately 75 countries, operating through three segments: Drilling and Evaluation, Well Construction and Completions, and Production and Intervention. The... Read more

$83.01+24.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#13 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.50%
IncomeYield1.32%Payout16.04%sustainable
Stop $77.36Target $103.38(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$118.83+43.2%12 analysts
$103.38our TP
$83.01price
$118.83mean
$156

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 25%
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.0
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE30.8%
Rev Growth-3.4%
Beta0.86
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicRussia7.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues in Russia were approximately 7% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWCustomerlargest customer in Mexico5.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest customer in Mexico, which comprised 5% of our revenue during the twelve months ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.4
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
16 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.75Resistance $105.98

Price Targets

$77
$103
A.Upside+24.5%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WFRD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $83.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $103.38 (+24.5%), stop $77.36 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WFRD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.38 (+24.5% upside). Target $103.38 (+24.5%), stop $77.36 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $77.36.

What are the risks of investing in WFRD?

Negative momentum.

Is WFRD overvalued or undervalued?

Weatherford International plc trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WFRD?

17 analysts cover WFRD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $119.

What does Weatherford International plc do?Weatherford International provides drilling, well construction, and production services to oil and gas operators across...

Weatherford International provides drilling, well construction, and production services to oil and gas operators across approximately 75 countries, operating through three segments: Drilling and Evaluation, Well Construction and Completions, and Production and Intervention. The company serves national oil companies and independent E&P companies, employing approximately 16,700 people globally.

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