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WFRDWeatherford International plcSell4.9·$75.45
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Weatherford International has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with an average surprise of 21%, carries a 31% return on equity, and trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 13.3x — but weak price momentum, a 21% analyst upside projection that is not yet reflected in the stock's current trajectory, and an elevated put/call ratio suggest patience is required.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Return On Equity→Stable
  • Strong Earnings Beat Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Weak Momentum Elevated Put Call↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5QualityShortModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-10-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Weatherford International provides drilling, well construction, and production services to oil and gas operators across approximately 75 countries, operating through three segments: Drilling and Evaluation, Well Construction and Completions, and Production and Intervention. The... Read more

$75.45+35.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#29 of 34 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield10.11%
IncomeYield1.42%Payout20.71%sustainable
Stop $72.18Target $101.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.7:1
Analyst target$117.08+55.2%12 analysts
$101.86our TP
$75.45price
$117.08mean
$151

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 35%
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.2
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA6.5
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE22.8%
Rev Growth-8.2%
Beta1.05
Dividend1.42%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.61bearish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicRussia7.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues in Russia were approximately 7% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWCustomerlargest customer in Mexico5.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest customer in Mexico, which comprised 5% of our revenue during the twelve months ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -8.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.5
Declining revenue: -8%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $74.41Resistance $86.00

Price Targets

$72
$102
A.Upside+35.0%
A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WFRD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $72.18. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WFRD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $101.86 (+35.0% upside). Prior stop was $72.18. Stop-loss: $72.18.

What are the risks of investing in WFRD?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is WFRD overvalued or undervalued?

Weatherford International plc trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WFRD?

17 analysts cover WFRD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $117.

What does Weatherford International plc do?Weatherford International provides drilling, well construction, and production services to oil and gas operators across...

Weatherford International provides drilling, well construction, and production services to oil and gas operators across approximately 75 countries, operating through three segments: Drilling and Evaluation, Well Construction and Completions, and Production and Intervention. The company serves national oil companies and independent E&P companies, employing approximately 16,700 people globally.

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