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WDFCWD-40 CompanyBuy Wait6.4·$207.57-1.37%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

WD-40 Company is a high-quality compounder with a Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 31% return on equity, and a wide economic moat, and has beaten earnings in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but trades at an expensive forward P/E of 35.5x with RSI at 75 indicating overbought conditions and an earnings report due in 23 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Near Term CatalystDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Overbought Expensive ValuationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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WD-40 Company (WDFC) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Wait for pullback to $194.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $207.57. Engine's entry $194.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product driving the majority of maintenance product sales through hardware, automotive, retail, and online channels. Revenue comes from direct product sales outsourced to... Read more

$207.57+11.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#4 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.46%
IncomeYield1.94%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout59.57%sustainable
Entry $194.02(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $182.60Target $230.92(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$271.67+30.9%3 analysts
$230.92our TP
$207.57price
$271.67mean
$305

Wait for pullback to $194.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $207.57. Engine's entry $194.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.9
P/E (Fwd)31.8
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA22.8
Profit Mgn13.2%
ROE33.3%
Rev Growth24.3%
Beta0.26
Dividend1.94%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $206.49Resistance $238.45

Price Targets

$183
$194
$231
A.Upside+11.2%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2%
Max %4%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $194.02. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $207.57. Engine's entry $194.02 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Target $230.92 (+11.2%), stop $182.60 (−13.7%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $230.92 (+11.2% upside). Target $230.92 (+11.2%), stop $182.60 (−13.7%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $182.60.

What are the risks of investing in WDFC?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

WD-40 Company trades at a P/E of 31.9 (forward 31.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WDFC?

11 analysts cover WDFC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $272.

What does WD-40 Company do?WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product...

WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product driving the majority of maintenance product sales through hardware, automotive, retail, and online channels. Revenue comes from direct product sales outsourced to third-party contract manufacturers globally; 66% of FY2025 consolidated net sales were from outside the U.S., with 714 employees across 18 countries.

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