Skip to main content
VTEXVTEXHold6.5·$3.72-2.36%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

VTEX combines a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak with an asymmetry-gate-passing valuation and strong cash conversion, but moderate insider selling, rising leverage, and thin analyst coverage temper conviction in the 26% modeled upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Asymmetry Clears Engine GateImproving
  • Attractive Valuation Low PegImproving
  • Excellent Cash Conversion And Piotroski ScoreImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

VTEX (VTEX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

VTEX, together with its subsidiaries, provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers. It provides VTEX platform that enables customers to execute commerce strategy, including building online stores, and integrating and managing... Read more

$3.72+39.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#14 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.32%
Stop $3.61Target $5.19(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$5.96+60.2%10 analysts
$5.19our TP
$3.72price
$5.96mean
$12

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.4
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$650M
EV/EBITDA13.3
Profit Mgn12.0%
ROE12.8%
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
2.4
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5INSIDER 0.17%=MODERATEA.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.72Resistance $4.60

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+39.1%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTEX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $5.19 (+39.5%), stop $3.61 (−3.0%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.19 (+39.1% upside). Target $5.19 (+39.5%), stop $3.61 (−3.0%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Stop-loss: $3.61.

What are the risks of investing in VTEX?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is VTEX overvalued or undervalued?

VTEX trades at a P/E of 22.4 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VTEX?

16 analysts cover VTEX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $6.

What does VTEX do?VTEX, together with its subsidiaries, provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands...

VTEX, together with its subsidiaries, provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers. It provides VTEX platform that enables customers to execute commerce strategy, including building online stores, and integrating and managing orders across channels, as well as creating marketplaces to sell products from third-party vendors. The company also offers customer support services; and optional services, such as project management, solutions architecting, and implementation consulting services. It serves its products to home appliances, apparel and accessories, beauty and health, electronics, grocery, department stores, and toys and hobbies, as well as home, furniture, and decoration markets. The company has operations in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, France, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Portugal, Romania, Spain, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. VTEX was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.

Related stocks: YB (Yuanbao Inc.) · DAVE (Dave Inc.) · MNTN (MNTN, Inc.) · ADEA (Adeia Inc.) · YOU (Clear Secure, Inc.)
Home Stocks VTEX

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat16d ago
MarketBeat16d ago
MarketBeat9d ago
MarketBeat9d ago
Yahoo Finance9d agoEarnings
Investing.com South Africa15d ago
Investing.com Canada15d ago
MarketBeat15d agoEarnings
TradingKey16d ago
Tradingkey.com16d ago
TradingKey16d ago
TradingKey16d ago
Finance.yahoo.com8d ago
Yahoo Finance8d ago
TipRanks8d agoEarnings
Investing.com UK8d agoEarnings
Dars.gov.et14d ago
Finance.yahoo.com14d ago
Yahoo Finance14d ago
TradingKey15d ago
Loading more...