Vulcan Materials shows strong positive price momentum with volume accumulation and a bullish technical setup, but two of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates, the stock trades at a premium valuation with a forward price-to-earnings of 27x, and free cash flow represents only 22% of net income, raising earnings quality concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Positive Price Momentum Accumulation→Stable
- Premium Valuation Low Free Cashflow→Stable
- Elevated Put Call Options Positioning→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $303.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $303.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi
Latest news
- NEWS Vulcan Materials (VMC) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS VMC Earnings Preview: Vulcan Materials Q2 2026 on April 29 - Meyka — Meyka neutral
- NEWS Vulcan Materials (VMC) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS A Look At Vulcan Materials (VMC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback And Premium P/E - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS From $11 to $20 Per Ton: What Vulcan Materials Investor Day Revealed for 2026 - TIKR.com — TIKR.com positive
Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUMOn May 11, Item 5.07. | Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. ---|--- On May 8, 2026, the Company held its annual meeting of shareholders (the "Annual Meeting").SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $303.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $282.23. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $314.74 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $282.23. Stop-loss: $282.23.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 5.0/10.
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi trades at a P/E of 36.0 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
28 analysts cover VMC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $327.
What does Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi do?Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed...
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks, ships, barges and trains, we provide the materials needed for the infrastructure that maintains and expands the U.S. economy.