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Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $532.65 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of... Read more

$532.65+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.63%
IncomeYield0.62%(5y avg 0.60%)Payout20.56%sustainable
Stop $509.62Target $619.98(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$688.86+29.3%22 analysts
$619.98our TP
$532.65price
$688.86mean
$440
$800

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $532.65 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 16, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 27, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 27, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (the "Company") announced that the Company has appointed Christopher W.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.4
P/E (Fwd)23.1
Mkt Cap$32.0B
EV/EBITDA17.7
Profit Mgn39.9%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth17.2%
Beta1.14
Dividend0.62%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV34%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 27, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (the "Company") announced that the Company has appointed Christopher W.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 16, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
16 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $525.38Resistance $628.57

Price Targets

$510
$620
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $532.65 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 16, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $509.62. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $619.98 (+16.4% upside). Prior stop was $509.62. Stop-loss: $509.62.

What are the risks of investing in MLM?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is MLM overvalued or undervalued?

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.4 (forward 23.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLM?

29 analysts cover MLM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $689.

What does Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. do?The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries,...

The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of December 31, 2025, Martin Marietta also provides other building materials, namely, cement, ready mixed concrete, asphalt and paving services in targeted markets where the Company has a notable aggregates position.

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