Skip to main content

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $609.89 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of... Read more

$609.89+1.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#12 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $579.75Target $621.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$690.96+13.3%23 analysts
$621.86our TP
$609.89price
$690.96mean
$440
$804

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $609.89 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.5
P/E (Fwd)26.4
Mkt Cap$37.0B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn18.5%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta1.19
Dividend0.54%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.37bearish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.9
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.2
Revenue Growth
4.6

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.3
Peg Ratio
3.6
Forward Pe
4.7
Analyst Target
5.0
Ps
6.2
Forward P/E: 26.4xPEG: 3.16
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $586.23Resistance $638.25

Price Targets

$580
$622
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $609.89 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $579.75. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $621.86 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $579.75. Stop-loss: $579.75.

What are the risks of investing in MLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Expensive valuation.

Is MLM overvalued or undervalued?

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.5 (forward 26.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLM?

30 analysts cover MLM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $691.

What does Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. do?The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries,...

The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of December 31, 2025, Martin Marietta also provides other building materials, namely, cement, ready mixed concrete, asphalt and paving services in targeted markets where the Company has a notable aggregates position.

Related stocks: CRH (CRH PLC) · KNF (Knife Riv Holding Co.) · JHX (James Hardie Industries plc.) · CX (Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored) · EXP (Eagle Materials Inc)