Martin Marietta is an industry growth leader with best-in-class margins, but the stock trades at a stretched valuation (25.7x forward earnings, PEG 2.86) with only 4.4% upside to the analyst price target and a failed asymmetry gate — the setup favors patience over new capital deployment.
Thesis pillars
- Growth Leader At Premium Valuation→Stable
- Thin Upside Unfavorable Geometry→Stable
- Fcf Quality Gap Earnings Vs Cash→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $562.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Negative momentum.
The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $562.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-19Recent Developments — Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Martin Marietta Materials Stock (US5732841060): Christopher W. Samborski Appointed COO Effective May - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS neutral
- NEWS MLM Earnings Preview: Martin Marietta Materials Q2 2026 - Meyka — Meyka positive
- NEWS Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Martin Marietta Materials Inc. stock underperforms Wednesday when compared to competitors despite daily gains - MarketWa — MarketWatch negative
- NEWS Martin Marietta (MLM) surges 3.1%: Is this an indication of further gains? - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-07-20T00:47:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-14Item 5.02MEDIUMVotes Cast For | | Votes Against | | Votes Abstained | | Broker Non-Votes | | | | | | | | Dorothy M. Ables | | 50,202,739 | | 2,225,718 | | 64,483 | | 2,420,615 | | | | | | | | Gayla J. Delly | | 52,391,823 | | 71,523 | | 29,594 | | 2,420,615 | | | | | | | | Anthony R.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 27, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (the "Company") announced that the Company has appointed Christopher W.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $562.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $612.55 (+8.9%), stop $544.57 (−3.3%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $612.55 (+8.9% upside). Target $612.55 (+8.9%), stop $544.57 (−3.3%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $544.57.
Thin upside margin: 8.9%; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.2 (forward 24.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Hold.
30 analysts cover MLM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $681.
What does Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. do?The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries,...
The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of December 31, 2025, Martin Marietta also provides other building materials, namely, cement, ready mixed concrete, asphalt and paving services in targeted markets where the Company has a notable aggregates position.