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MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.Sell5.4·$572.25+3.30%
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Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. At $572.25, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of... Read more

$572.25+7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.53%
IncomeYield0.60%(5y avg 0.60%)Payout20.56%sustainable
Stop $539.63Target $614.78(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$683.09+19.4%23 analysts
$614.78our TP
$572.25price
$683.09mean
$440
$800

Sell if holding. At $572.25, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.7
P/E (Fwd)24.2
Mkt Cap$33.3B
EV/EBITDA18.3
Profit Mgn39.9%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth17.2%
Beta1.10
Dividend0.60%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.24bearish
IV47%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 27, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (the "Company") announced that the Company has appointed Christopher W.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $524.63Resistance $591.96

Price Targets

$540
$615
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $572.25, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $539.63. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $614.78 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $539.63. Stop-loss: $539.63.

What are the risks of investing in MLM?

Thin upside margin: 7.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is MLM overvalued or undervalued?

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.7 (forward 24.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MLM?

29 analysts cover MLM with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $683.

What does Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. do?The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries,...

The Company supplies aggregates (crushed stone, sand and gravel) through its network of approximately 400 quarries, mines and distribution yards in 28 states, Canada and The Bahamas. In 2025, aggregates generated 88% of the Company's total reportable segment gross profit. As of December 31, 2025, Martin Marietta also provides other building materials, namely, cement, ready mixed concrete, asphalt and paving services in targeted markets where the Company has a notable aggregates position.

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