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Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $301.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks,... Read more

$301.35-0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#9 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $286.59Target $300.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$324.14+7.6%21 analysts
$300.17our TP
$301.35price
$324.14mean
$198
$365

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $301.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.1
P/E (Fwd)27.7
Mkt Cap$38.6B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn13.6%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth3.2%
Beta1.09
Dividend0.70%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
8.2

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.7
Peg Ratio
3.6
Pe
3.7
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.5
Ps
7.0
Forward P/E: 27.7xPEG: 3.18
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $275.42Resistance $306.30

Price Targets

$287
$300
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $301.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $286.59. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $300.17 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $286.59. Stop-loss: $286.59.

What are the risks of investing in VMC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is VMC overvalued or undervalued?

Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi trades at a P/E of 35.1 (forward 27.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VMC?

29 analysts cover VMC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $324.

What does Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi do?Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed...

Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks, ships, barges and trains, we provide the materials needed for the infrastructure that maintains and expands the U.S. economy.

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