Vulcan Materials shows strong positive price momentum with volume accumulation and a bullish technical setup, but two of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates, the stock trades at a premium valuation with a forward price-to-earnings of 27x, and free cash flow represents only 22% of net income, raising earnings quality concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Positive Price Momentum Accumulation↓Deteriorating
- Premium Valuation Low Free Cashflow→Stable
- Elevated Put Call Options Positioning↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $262.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $262.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi
Latest news
- NEWS VMC Q2 FY2026 earnings call - finance.biggo.com — finance.biggo.com neutral
- NEWS [VMC Q2 2026 Earnings Call] Vulcan Materials Q2 Adjusted EBITDA Holds Steady at $654 Million Despite $40 Million Energy — finance.biggo.com neutral
- NEWS Vulcan Materials Q2 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Up - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Vulcan Materials Q2 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Stock Up - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Vulcan Materials tops estimates as pricing offsets weather, energy costs (VMC:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
Generated 2026-09-05T21:12:06Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $262.63, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 35, MACD bearish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $293.17 (+11.6%), stop $249.45 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $293.17 (+11.6% upside). Target $293.17 (+11.6%), stop $249.45 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $249.45.
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi trades at a P/E of 30.7 (forward 24.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
30 analysts cover VMC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $326.
What does Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi do?Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed...
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks, ships, barges and trains, we provide the materials needed for the infrastructure that maintains and expands the U.S. economy.