Vulcan Materials shows strong positive price momentum with volume accumulation and a bullish technical setup, but two of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates, the stock trades at a premium valuation with a forward price-to-earnings of 27x, and free cash flow represents only 22% of net income, raising earnings quality concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Positive Price Momentum Accumulation↑Improving
- Premium Valuation Low Free Cashflow↓Deteriorating
- Elevated Put Call Options Positioning↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026· older than 90 days
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $297.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $297.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 103d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Oct 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: On October 19, 2026, David P. Clement, Senior Vice President of Operations Support and Procurement of Vulcan Materials Company ("Vulcan"), notified Vulcan that he intends to retire from such position in the first quarter of 2027.
Latest news
- NEWS Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Vulcan Materials, Lowers Price Target to $311 — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS What Could Drive Vulcan Materials (NYSE:VMC) After Its Latest Update? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings to watch: Vulcan Materials (VMC) reports Q3 results tomorrow - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Looks Fairly Valued As Shares Climb On Outlook - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Vulcan Materials (VMC) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2026 $VMC - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 28, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:11Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-10-22Item 5.02MEDIUMOn October 19, 2026, David P. Clement, Senior Vice President of Operations Support and Procurement of Vulcan Materials Company ("Vulcan"), notified Vulcan that he intends to retire from such position in the first quarter of 2027.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $297.69 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 83. Prior stop was $281.51. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $280.80 reached (−5.7% from $297.69); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $281.51. Stop-loss: $281.51.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi trades at a P/E of 35.2 (forward 29.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts rate VMC, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 23 analysts publish price targets averaging $312.
What does Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi do?Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed...
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks, ships, barges and trains, we provide the materials needed for the infrastructure that maintains and expands the U.S. economy.