Vulcan Materials shows strong positive price momentum with volume accumulation and a bullish technical setup, but two of the last four quarters missed earnings estimates, the stock trades at a premium valuation with a forward price-to-earnings of 27x, and free cash flow represents only 22% of net income, raising earnings quality concerns.
Thesis pillars
- Positive Price Momentum Accumulation↓Deteriorating
- Premium Valuation Low Free Cashflow→Stable
- Elevated Put Call Options Positioning↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi (VMC) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Basic Materials · Building Materials
Wait for pullback to $265.71. At $279.70 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $265.71 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.9%.
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks,... Read more
Wait for pullback to $265.71. At $279.70 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $265.71 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.9%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi
Latest news
- NEWS Vulcan Materials (VMC) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Vulcan Materials (VMC) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS VMC Earnings Preview: Vulcan Materials Q2 2026 on April 29 - Meyka — Meyka neutral
- NEWS Vulcan Materials (VMC) Reports Q1: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS A Look At Vulcan Materials (VMC) Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback And Premium P/E - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-07-27T11:13:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUMOn May 11, Item 5.07. | Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders. ---|--- On May 8, 2026, the Company held its annual meeting of shareholders (the "Annual Meeting").SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $265.71. At $279.70 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $265.71 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.9%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 30, MACD bearish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $293.28 (+4.9%), stop $248.75 (−12.4%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $293.28 (+4.9% upside). Target $293.28 (+4.9%), stop $248.75 (−12.4%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $248.75.
Thin upside margin: 4.9%.
Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi trades at a P/E of 33.1 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
29 analysts cover VMC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $326.
What does Vulcan Materials Company (Holdi do?Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed...
Company operates primarily in the U.S. and is the nation's largest supplier of construction aggregates (mainly crushed stone, sand and gravel) and a major producer of aggregates-intensive downstream products such as asphalt mix and ready-mixed concrete. Delivered by trucks, ships, barges and trains, we provide the materials needed for the infrastructure that maintains and expands the U.S. economy.