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Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $54.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Amrize is a North American building solutions company (spun off from Holcim in June 2025) offering cement, aggregates, and ready-mix concrete (Building Materials) and roofing/wall systems including Duro-Last, Elevate, and Malarkey (Building Envelope). Revenue comes from over... Read more

$54.03+11.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#8 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $51.32Target $60.28(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$66.98+24.0%20 analysts
$60.28our TP
$54.03price
$66.98mean
$76

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $54.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$31.4B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth-0.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.89neutral
IV76%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierpetroleum-based products
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our Building Envelope segment requires a different set of raw materials, with a large dependency on petroleum-based products, chemicals, resins, asphalt, glass fiber, granules and other commodities.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 4.01HIGH
    On Feb 19, 2026, Amrize dismissed EY Switzerland as independent registered public accounting firm and engaged EY US, effective immediately. Change driven by primary North American operations following 2025 Spin-Off from Holcim. EY Switzerland continues as statutory auditor under Swiss law.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Baris Oran appointed CFO effective April 1, 2026, succeeding Ian Johnston who steps down but remains as senior advisor. Oran previously served as CFO of GXO Logistics (2021-2026) and XPO Logistics and Sabanci Group.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Theresa Drew resigned from the Board (not related to any disagreement). Robert S. Rivkin appointed Audit Committee Chair; Holli Ladhani appointed to Audit Committee as financial expert, effective February 11, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.4
Earnings Growth
2.7
Declining revenue: -0%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
4.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.6
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.91Resistance $59.66

Price Targets

$51
$60
A.Upside+11.6%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMRZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $54.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $51.32. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMRZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.28 (+11.4% upside). Prior stop was $51.32. Stop-loss: $51.32.

What are the risks of investing in AMRZ?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is AMRZ overvalued or undervalued?

Amrize Ltd trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMRZ?

26 analysts cover AMRZ with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Amrize Ltd do?Amrize is a North American building solutions company (spun off from Holcim in June 2025) offering cement, aggregates,...

Amrize is a North American building solutions company (spun off from Holcim in June 2025) offering cement, aggregates, and ready-mix concrete (Building Materials) and roofing/wall systems including Duro-Last, Elevate, and Malarkey (Building Envelope). Revenue comes from over 23000 customers across U.S., Canada, and North American construction markets.

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