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James Hardie Industries plc. (JHX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards in the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand. It operates in three segments: North America Fiber Cement, Asia Pacific Fiber Cement, and Europe... Read more

$21.10+22.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#6 of 12 Building Materials
Stop $19.47Target $25.54(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$29.36+39.1%7 analysts
$25.54our TP
$21.10price
$29.36mean
$30

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Analyst upside: 22%
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)84.9
P/E (Fwd)16.3
Mkt Cap$11.8B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE2.8%
Rev Growth30.1%
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.14Resistance $22.63

Price Targets

$19
$26
A.Upside+21.0%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-19 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JHX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $19.47. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JHX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.54 (+22.0% upside). Prior stop was $19.47. Stop-loss: $19.47.

What are the risks of investing in JHX?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is JHX overvalued or undervalued?

James Hardie Industries plc. trades at a P/E of 84.9 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JHX?

17 analysts cover JHX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $29.

What does James Hardie Industries plc. do?James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards...

James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards in the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand. It operates in three segments: North America Fiber Cement, Asia Pacific Fiber Cement, and Europe Building Products. The company offers fiber cement interior linings, exterior siding products, and related accessories. Its fiber cement products are used for a range of external applications, including siding, cladding, trim, soffit, as well as internal applications such as walls, floors, and ceilings. The company also provides fiber gypsum and cement-bonded boards for interior applications, such as dry lining walls, walls in timber frame buildings, and flooring solutions. Its cement-bonded boards are used in exterior and industrial applications, as well as for fire protection. The company offers its products under the HardieTM brand, such as Hardie Plank, Hardie Panel, Hardie Trim, Hardie Backer, Hardie Artisan Siding, and HardieTM Architectural Collection brands, as well as the fermacell and AESTUVER brands. James Hardie Industries plc was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

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