Skip to main content

James Hardie Industries plc. (JHX) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Building Materials

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-19). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $19.15 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards in the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand. It operates in three segments: North America Fiber Cement, Asia Pacific Fiber Cement, and Europe... Read more

$19.00+32.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#9 of 12 Building Materials
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.61%
Entry $19.15(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $17.34Target $25.40(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1Setup A.R:R 6.2:1
Analyst target$29.19+53.6%7 analysts
$25.40our TP
$19.00price
$29.19mean
$30

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $19.15 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — James Hardie Industries plc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.59% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)82.6
P/E (Fwd)16.1
Mkt Cap$11.5B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE2.8%
Rev Growth30.1%
Beta1.03
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.60bearish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.71Resistance $22.63

Price Targets

$17
$19
$25
A.Upside+33.7%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-19 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JHX stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $19.15 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $25.40 (+33.7%), stop $17.34 (−9.6%), Setup A.R:R 6.2:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JHX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.40 (+32.6% upside). Target $25.40 (+33.7%), stop $17.34 (−9.6%), Setup A.R:R 6.2:1. Stop-loss: $17.34.

What are the risks of investing in JHX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.59% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is JHX overvalued or undervalued?

James Hardie Industries plc. trades at a P/E of 82.6 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about JHX?

17 analysts cover JHX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $29.

What does James Hardie Industries plc. do?James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards...

James Hardie Industries plc engages in the manufacture and sale of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded boards in the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand. It operates in three segments: North America Fiber Cement, Asia Pacific Fiber Cement, and Europe Building Products. The company offers fiber cement interior linings, exterior siding products, and related accessories. Its fiber cement products are used for a range of external applications, including siding, cladding, trim, soffit, as well as internal applications such as walls, floors, and ceilings. The company also provides fiber gypsum and cement-bonded boards for interior applications, such as dry lining walls, walls in timber frame buildings, and flooring solutions. Its cement-bonded boards are used in exterior and industrial applications, as well as for fire protection. The company offers its products under the HardieTM brand, such as Hardie Plank, Hardie Panel, Hardie Trim, Hardie Backer, Hardie Artisan Siding, and HardieTM Architectural Collection brands, as well as the fermacell and AESTUVER brands. James Hardie Industries plc was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Related stocks: LOMA (Loma Negra Compania Industrial ) · TGLS (Tecnoglass Inc.) · USLM (United States Lime & Minerals, ) · CX (Cemex, S.A.B. de C.V. Sponsored) · MLM (Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.)