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UVEUNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INHold6.1·$43.01+1.82%
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UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS IN (UVE) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated insurance holding company in the United States. The company offers insurance products for personal residential insurance, such as homeowners, renters and tenants, condo unit owners, and... Read more

$43.01+0.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#9 of 40 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield28.19%
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 3.71%)Payout9.47%sustainable
Stop $40.31Target $43.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$44.00+2.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.4
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA2.6
Profit Mgn12.2%
ROE38.9%
Rev Growth-0.3%
Beta0.73
Dividend1.49%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.75bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.22%=MODERATEMomentum 8.2>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.40Resistance $43.96

Price Targets

$40
$43
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UVE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $43.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $43.08 (+0.2%), stop $40.31 (−6.7%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UVE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.08 (+0.2% upside). Target $43.08 (+0.2%), stop $40.31 (−6.7%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $40.31.

What are the risks of investing in UVE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Is UVE overvalued or undervalued?

UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS IN trades at a P/E of 6.4 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UVE?

6 analysts cover UVE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $44.

What does UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS IN do?Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated insurance holding company...

Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated insurance holding company in the United States. The company offers insurance products for personal residential insurance, such as homeowners, renters and tenants, condo unit owners, and dwelling and fire; and allied lines, coverage for other structures, and personal property, liability, and personal articles coverages. It also advises on actuarial issues, oversees distribution, administers claims payments, performs policy administration and underwriting, and assists with reinsurance negotiations; evaluates insurance risk and exposures on an individual and portfolio basis and assists the insurance entities with pricing risks; places and manages its reinsurance programs; and operates its digital insurance agency, Clovered.com. It offers its products through its independent agency network, direct-to-consumer online distribution, and digital insurance agency platform. The company was formerly known as Universal Heights, Inc. and changed its name to Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. in January 2001. Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

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