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UNFUnifirst CorporationSell5.2·$294.34+1.59%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Unifirst Corporation has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and shows strong Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 with solid technical positioning, but trades above analyst target resistance with negative asymmetry of -2.02 and relies heavily on manufacturing operations in Mexico and Nicaragua that introduce material geographic concentration risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Concentration Mexico NicaraguaStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Catalyst TimingStable
  • Price Above Analyst Resistance Negative UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Unifirst Corporation (UNF) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $294.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%).

UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear garment decontamination across North America, serving more than 300,000 customer locations. Revenue comes primarily from weekly rental and cleaning service... Read more

$294.34-21.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#20 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.85%
IncomeYield0.50%(5y avg 0.67%)Payout22.83%sustainable
Stop $282.78Target $289.69(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$273.33-7.1%3 analysts
$289.69our TP
$294.34price
$273.33mean
$262

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $294.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202687d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.8
P/E (Fwd)36.8
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn4.6%
ROE5.3%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta0.63
Dividend0.50%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish
IV34%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomernuclear power plant operator customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant percentage of this segment's revenues are generated from a limited number of nuclear power plant operator customers'
  • HIGHGeographicMexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants62%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 62% of all garments we placed in service during fiscal 2025 ... manufactured at two of our plants located in San Luis Potosi, Mexico, one plant located in Managua, Nicaragua'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
9.9

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.2
Pe
2.7
Forward Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
5.0
Ps
8.9
Forward P/E: 36.8xPEG: 1.50
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $261.28Resistance $295.60

Price Targets

$283
$290
A.Upside-21.1%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $294.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $282.78. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UNF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $289.69 (-21.1% upside). Prior stop was $282.78. Stop-loss: $282.78.

What are the risks of investing in UNF?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Mexico and Nicaragua manufacturing plants (62.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Is UNF overvalued or undervalued?

Unifirst Corporation trades at a P/E of 45.8 (forward 36.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNF?

12 analysts cover UNF with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $273.

What does Unifirst Corporation do?UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear...

UniFirst provides uniform and workwear rental programs, facility services, first aid and safety products, and nuclear garment decontamination across North America, serving more than 300,000 customer locations. Revenue comes primarily from weekly rental and cleaning service contracts of 3-5 years, with approximately 16,000 employees and about 62% of garments manufactured at company-owned plants in Mexico, Nicaragua, and the US.

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