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CMPRCimpress PLCSell6.2·$76.72
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cimpress offers exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 298% of net income and three consecutive earnings beats — including a 214% upside surprise in the most recent quarter — but an extreme risk profile combining high short interest (13%), a put/call ratio of 6.80, and implied volatility at 91% makes this an aggressive-suitability setup despite the favorable technical and quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Acceleration→Stable
  • Oversold Bounce Technical Setup↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cimpress PLC (CMPR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $76.72: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Cimpress is a mass customization company that sells printed and personalized products online, with Vistaprint making up the vast majority of its largest segment. It earns revenue from small-business and consumer orders.

$76.72+26.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.08%
Stop $71.44Target $97.33(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$114.50+49.2%2 analysts
$97.33our TP
$76.72price
$114.50mean
$121

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $76.72: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cimpress PLC

About Cimpress PLC

Cimpress generated $3.4 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025, up from $0.2 billion when it went public in fiscal 2006, operating through five reportable segments led by Vista (VistaPrint), which serves about 11 million small businesses annually with an average order value above $90 and gross margins around 55%. Its Upload & Print segments, PrintBrothers and The Print Group, serve European graphic professionals with gross margins near 32%. Cimpress runs roughly 3 million square feet of owned production space plus hundreds of third-party fulfillment partners.

Cimpress earns revenue through a mass-customization model that aggregates large volumes of small, individually configured print orders - business cards, marketing materials, signage, promotional products, apparel, packaging, and design services - into homogeneous production runs on largely automated lines, letting it match near-mass-production unit costs to custom orders. Vista sells directly to small businesses and consumers through VistaPrint, 99designs, VistaCreate, and a Wix partnership, mostly via self-service e-commerce with orders often produced and shipped same-day; PrintBrothers (druck.at, Printdeal, WIRmachenDRUCK) and The Print Group serve graphic professionals, resellers, and agencies at wholesale-like pricing with far larger product catalogs sourced partly through third-party fulfillers. The company invests centrally in only a few shared capabilities - its mass-customization software platform, India-based talent infrastructure, large-scale procurement, and cross-business knowledge sharing - while leaving pricing, marketing, and operating decisions to autonomous business-unit CEOs. Growth increasingly comes from "elevated products" like packaging and large-format signage, which carry lower gross margins than mature products like business cards but higher customer lifetime value.

Show full overview

A dated, falsifiable risk in the filing is the scheduled end of the de minimis import-duty exemption that Cimpress says currently benefits its business: the exemption is set to end no later than July 1, 2027 under H.R. 1, but the company expects it to end even sooner, on August 29, 2025, under a separate executive order. Layered on top, Cimpress is relying on an "informational materials" exclusion under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to keep most of its U.S.-imported printed products outside recent tariff actions, a legal basis the company itself flags could change, in which case its Ontario, Mexico, and other cross-border manufacturing footprint would face materially higher import costs.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Cimpress PLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.2
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE—
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.17%=MODERATEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $71.70Resistance $82.00

Price Targets

$71
$97
A.Upside+26.9%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts8
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$115

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $76.72: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $71.44. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.33 (+26.9% upside). Prior stop was $71.44. Stop-loss: $71.44.

What are the risks of investing in CMPR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Elevated risk factors.

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Cimpress PLC trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMPR?

8 analysts cover CMPR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Cimpress PLC do?Cimpress is a mass customization company that sells printed and personalized products online, with Vistaprint making up...

Cimpress is a mass customization company that sells printed and personalized products online, with Vistaprint making up the vast majority of its largest segment. It earns revenue from small-business and consumer orders.

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