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CMPRCimpress PLCSell5.9·$78.61
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Cimpress offers exceptional free-cash-flow conversion at 298% of net income and three consecutive earnings beats — including a 214% upside surprise in the most recent quarter — but an extreme risk profile combining high short interest (13%), a put/call ratio of 6.80, and implied volatility at 91% makes this an aggressive-suitability setup despite the favorable technical and quality signals.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Acceleration→Stable
  • Oversold Bounce Technical Setup↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Cimpress PLC (CMPR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Cimpress operates a decentralized group of mass-customization print businesses — led by Vista (VistaPrint, 99designs), PrintBrothers, and The Print Group — selling business cards, marketing materials, signage, and packaging mostly to small businesses. It grew from $0.2 billion... Read more

$78.61+23.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#9 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.99%
Stop $73.97Target $97.33(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$114.50+45.7%2 analysts
$97.33our TP
$78.61price
$114.50mean
$121

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cimpress PLC

About Cimpress PLC

Cimpress grew from $0.2 billion in revenue at its 2006 IPO to $3.4 billion in fiscal 2025, organized into five reportable segments led by Vista — serving about 11 million small businesses annually at roughly 55% gross margins — alongside Upload & Print segments PrintBrothers and The Print Group, which serve graphic professionals at around 32% gross margins. Production spans roughly 3 million square feet of owned facilities across North America, Western Europe, Australia, New Zealand, India, and Brazil.

Cimpress earns revenue through a mass-customization model that aggregates large volumes of small, individually customized print orders — business cards, signage, packaging, apparel, and promotional products — into homogeneous production streams that achieve near-mass-production efficiency, an approach the company estimates addresses a more than $100 billion annual market opportunity in North America, Europe, and Australia alone. Vista, its largest business, generates the majority of its revenue from VistaPrint, where customers spent a bit more than $150 on average in fiscal 2025 and advertising spend ran about 15% of revenue, while its Upload & Print segments operate at lower, wholesale-like margins serving local printers, resellers, and advertising agencies rather than end consumers. The company runs a deliberately decentralized structure, delegating responsibility to the CEOs of each underlying business while centralizing only a small set of shared capabilities — its mass customization platform, India-based talent infrastructure, large-scale procurement, and cross-business knowledge sharing — with roughly 100 of its more than 15,000 employees dedicated to central corporate functions.

Show full overview

Cimpress's exposure to trade-policy risk is broader than a single named supplier or country: the company sources supply chain materials and produces products across borders throughout North America, Europe, India, and Brazil, and flags that changes in governmental trade policies — particularly involving North America, China, and Europe — along with customs-compliance difficulty in the many countries where it operates, could disrupt its cross-border production and shipping model. Because Cimpress runs production nodes optimized for specific product categories and routes long-tail orders to whichever facility, owned or third-party, is best suited to fulfill them, a disruption to any single border-crossing lane could force costly rerouting rather than triggering a company-wide single-source failure.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Business Services

From Cimpress PLC's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 30, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.6
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE—
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta1.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.8
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 13, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
13 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.26Resistance $92.10

Price Targets

$74
$97
A.Upside+23.8%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CMPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.61 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $73.97. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CMPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.33 (+23.8% upside). Prior stop was $73.97. Stop-loss: $73.97.

What are the risks of investing in CMPR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is CMPR overvalued or undervalued?

Cimpress PLC trades at a P/E of 20.6 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CMPR?

8 analysts cover CMPR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Cimpress PLC do?Cimpress operates a decentralized group of mass-customization print businesses — led by Vista (VistaPrint, 99designs),...

Cimpress operates a decentralized group of mass-customization print businesses — led by Vista (VistaPrint, 99designs), PrintBrothers, and The Print Group — selling business cards, marketing materials, signage, and packaging mostly to small businesses. It grew from $0.2 billion of revenue at its 2006 IPO to $3.4 billion in fiscal 2025, with Vista alone serving about 11 million small businesses annually at roughly 55% gross margins.

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