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ULUnilever PLCBuy Wait5.4·$60.94+1.21%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Unilever PLC trades at a forward P/E of 15.1x with 31% return on equity and best-in-class margins of 19%, but the stock has already reached or exceeded the analyst price target leaving negative upside of -1.9%, and is in a confirmed downtrend below its 200-day moving average with an elevated put/call ratio of 3.35.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins And RoeStable
  • Analyst Target Already ReachedStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend Below 200maDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Unilever PLC (UL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5AI GATE: FLAGGED — 1 risk, 1 concernModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-28). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $57.89. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $60.94. Engine's entry $57.89 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods. The Beauty & Wellbeing segment offers hair care, such as shampoo,... Read more

$60.94-4.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield4.78%
IncomeYield3.78%(5y avg 3.58%)Payout78.60%
Entry $57.89(5% below current)Stop $55.45Target $62.49(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$68.21+11.9%4 analysts
$62.49our TP
$60.94price
$68.21mean
$69

Wait for pullback to $57.89. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $60.94. Engine's entry $57.89 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$131.2B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn18.7%
ROE31.0%
Rev Growth
Beta0.45
Dividend3.78%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.37bearish
IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $59.90Resistance $63.77

Price Targets

$55
$58
$62
A.Upside-4.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.9% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $57.89. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $60.94. Engine's entry $57.89 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $62.49 (+2.5%), stop $55.45 (−9.9%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.49 (-4.9% upside). Target $62.49 (+2.5%), stop $55.45 (−9.9%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $55.45.

What are the risks of investing in UL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.12% of cap).

Is UL overvalued or undervalued?

Unilever PLC trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about UL?

22 analysts cover UL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Unilever PLC do?Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It...

Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods. The Beauty & Wellbeing segment offers hair care, such as shampoo, conditioner, and styling; face, hand, and body moisturizer skin care products; and Prestige Beauty and Wellbeing products. The Personal Care segment provides soap and shower skin cleansing products; and deodorant and oral care, including toothpaste, toothbrush, and mouthwash products. The Home Care segment offers washing powders and liquids, and rinse conditioner fabric care products; and a range of home and hygiene cleaning products. The Foods segment provides cooking aids and mini meals comprising soups, bouillons, and seasonings, as well as mayonnaise and ketchup condiments; and Unilever food solutions. The company provides its products under the AXE, Clear, Cif, Closeup, Comfort, Dermalogica, Domestos, Dove, Dove Men+Care, Hellmann's, Horlicks, Knorr, LUX, Lifebuoy, Liquid I.V., Nexxus, Nutrafol, OMO, Pond's, Paula's Choice, Pepsodent, Radiant, Rexona, Sunlight, Sunsilk, Surf, TRESemmé, and Vaseline brand names. Unilever PLC was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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