Skip to main content
ULUnilever PLCSell5.0·$62.09-0.94%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Unilever PLC trades at a forward P/E of 15.1x with 31% return on equity and best-in-class margins of 19%, but the stock has already reached or exceeded the analyst price target leaving negative upside of -1.9%, and is in a confirmed downtrend below its 200-day moving average with an elevated put/call ratio of 3.35.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins And RoeStable
  • Analyst Target Already ReachedImproving
  • Confirmed Downtrend Below 200maDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Unilever PLC (UL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.09 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods. The Beauty & Wellbeing segment offers hair care, such as shampoo,... Read more

$62.09+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#15 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield4.99%
IncomeYield3.69%(5y avg 3.58%)Payout78.60%
Stop $59.35Target $62.65(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$73.70+18.7%4 analysts
$62.65our TP
$62.09price
$73.70mean
$77

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.09 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 179d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 2027179d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.6
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$135.0B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn18.3%
ROE31.9%
Rev Growth0.5%
Beta0.45
Dividend3.69%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.9
Revenue Growth
2.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 179d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $59.41Resistance $66.89

Price Targets

$59
$63
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.9% upside)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (179d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.09 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $59.35. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.65 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $59.35. Stop-loss: $59.35.

What are the risks of investing in UL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak growth.

Is UL overvalued or undervalued?

Unilever PLC trades at a P/E of 20.6 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UL?

23 analysts cover UL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Unilever PLC do?Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It...

Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods. The Beauty & Wellbeing segment offers hair care, such as shampoo, conditioner, and styling; face, hand, and body moisturizer skin care products; and Prestige Beauty and Wellbeing products. The Personal Care segment provides soap and shower skin cleansing products; and deodorant and oral care, including toothpaste, toothbrush, and mouthwash products. The Home Care segment offers washing powders and liquids, and rinse conditioner fabric care products; and a range of home and hygiene cleaning products. The Foods segment provides cooking aids and mini meals comprising soups, bouillons, and seasonings, as well as mayonnaise and ketchup condiments; and Unilever food solutions. The company provides its products under the AXE, Clear, Cif, Closeup, Comfort, Dermalogica, Domestos, Dove, Dove Men+Care, Hellmann's, Horlicks, Knorr, LUX, Lifebuoy, Liquid I.V., Nexxus, Nutrafol, OMO, Pond's, Paula's Choice, Pepsodent, Radiant, Rexona, Sunlight, Sunsilk, Surf, TRESemmé, and Vaseline brand names. Unilever PLC was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: KVUE (Kenvue Inc.) · CHD (Church & Dwight Company, Inc.) · PG (Procter & Gamble Company (The)) · CL (Colgate-Palmolive Company) · KMB (Kimberly-Clark Corporation)
Home Stocks UL

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat24d ago
Seeking Alpha18d ago
Seeking Alpha18d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha25d agoMerger Acquisition
MarketBeat25d ago
MarketBeat25d agoEarnings
TradingKey20d agoEarnings
MarketBeat27d ago
MarketBeat27d ago
MarketBeat21d ago
TradingView21d ago
Mshale21d agoLegal
TradingKey18d ago
MarketBeat19d ago
TradingKey22d ago
TradingKey22d ago
TradingKey22d ago
MarketBeat22d ago
Benzinga17d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga18d ago
Loading more...