Textron has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats and sports strong price momentum above all moving averages, but with the stock trading above the analyst consensus target and a put/call ratio of 2.45 signaling elevated hedging demand, the near-term upside is exhausted.
Thesis pillars
- Target Exhausted No Upside↑Improving
- Four Quarter Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Momentum Above All Mas↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Textron Inc. (TXT) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $79.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Textron generated $14.8 billion in 2025 revenues across five manufacturing segments — Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and Textron eAviation — plus a captive Finance segment. The U.S. Government accounted for approximately 27% of revenues in 2025, primarily... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $79.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Textron Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Textron Shares In Focus With New Jet Deal, Starlink Connectivity Push - Sahm — Sahm positive
- NEWS Textron Inc. (TXT) Unveils Starlink Aftermarket Offering for Cessna Citation Jets, Secures EASA Certification to Expand — Xã Thanh Hà positive
- NEWS Is Textron (TXT) stock an interesting buying opportunity | Q4 2025: Profit Exceeds Views - Earnings Surprise - Cổng thôn — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai positive
- NEWS Textron Inc (TXT) Stock Down 6.4% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 87/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Textron (TXT) Stock Sinks As Margin Strain Clouds Steady Sales - simplywall.st — simplywall.st negative
Generated 2026-09-04T15:47:16Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government27%10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, we derived approximately 27% of our revenues from sales to a variety of U.S. Government entities.'
- MEDIUMGeographicinternational business31%10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, we derived approximately 31% of our revenues from international business, including U.S. exports.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $79.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $76.08. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $91.86 (+16.1% upside). Prior stop was $76.08. Stop-loss: $76.08.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.
Textron Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover TXT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $102.
What does Textron Inc. do?Textron generated $14.8 billion in 2025 revenues across five manufacturing segments — Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron...
Textron generated $14.8 billion in 2025 revenues across five manufacturing segments — Textron Aviation, Bell, Textron Systems, Industrial, and Textron eAviation — plus a captive Finance segment. The U.S. Government accounted for approximately 27% of revenues in 2025, primarily through Bell helicopter and Textron Systems defense programs, while international business contributed 31%.