Skip to main content
TTETotalEnergies SESell6.2·$76.69+2.53%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TotalEnergies is deeply oversold with an RSI of 28 and one of the most attractive valuations in the energy sector at a forward P/E of 8.4x and PEG of 0.68, but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.59 signal that the bear case is actively being priced in.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield SustainabilityStable
  • Oversold Valuation SetupStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $76.69: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 9.9%.

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Brazil, India, and internationally. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE... Read more

$76.69+9.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.89%
IncomeYield5.50%(5y avg 5.37%)Payout58.84%sustainable
Stop $72.93Target $84.30(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$96.90+26.4%7 analysts
$84.30our TP
$76.69price
$96.90mean
$104

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $76.69: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 9.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.9%
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$170.6B
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth3.4%
Beta0.05
Dividend5.50%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.9
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 550.0%
GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.78Resistance $89.89

Price Targets

$73
$84
A.Upside+9.9%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $76.69: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Thin upside margin: 9.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $72.93. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $84.30 (+9.9% upside). Prior stop was $72.93. Stop-loss: $72.93.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?

Thin upside margin: 9.9%; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?

TotalEnergies SE trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTE?

31 analysts cover TTE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $97.

What does TotalEnergies SE do?TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and...

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Brazil, India, and internationally. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.

Related stocks: SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) · YPF (YPF Sociedad Anonima) · CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) · PBR-A (Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrob) · EQNR (Equinor ASA)
Home Stocks TTE

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat75d agoEarnings
MarketBeat69d ago
Marketscreener.com69d ago
Investing.com74d agoAnalyst
The Globe and Mail74d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat72d ago
GuruFocus70d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance76d agoProduct
Investing.com77d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus72d ago
Yahoo Finance73d agoEarnings
MarketBeat73d ago
CoinCentral73d agoProduct
GuruFocus73d ago
TotalEnergies.com73d ago
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga11d ago
Benzinga12d ago
Loading more...