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TTETotalEnergies SESell6.1·$86.80+0.66%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TotalEnergies is deeply oversold with an RSI of 28 and one of the most attractive valuations in the energy sector at a forward P/E of 8.4x and PEG of 0.68, but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.59 signal that the bear case is actively being priced in.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield SustainabilityImproving
  • Oversold Valuation SetupDeteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.80 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Brazil, India, and internationally. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE... Read more

$86.80-4.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#8 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.22%
IncomeYield4.97%(5y avg 5.37%)Payout58.84%sustainable
Stop $83.24Target $85.34(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$95.00+9.4%10 analysts
$85.34our TP
$86.80price
$95.00mean
$81
$106

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.80 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202696d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Overbought (RSI 80)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$192.7B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth3.4%
Beta0.05
Dividend4.97%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
8.6
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.78Resistance $87.08

Price Targets

$83
$85
A.Upside-4.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.80 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $83.24. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.34 (-4.8% upside). Prior stop was $83.24. Stop-loss: $83.24.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 80).

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?

TotalEnergies SE trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTE?

32 analysts cover TTE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $95.

What does TotalEnergies SE do?TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and...

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Brazil, India, and internationally. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.

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