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TTETotalEnergies SESell6.3·$88.33+1.47%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TotalEnergies is deeply oversold with an RSI of 28 and one of the most attractive valuations in the energy sector at a forward P/E of 8.4x and PEG of 0.68, but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.59 signal that the bear case is actively being priced in.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield SustainabilityDeteriorating
  • Oversold Valuation SetupImproving
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $88.33. Consecutive earnings misses (2).

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production,... Read more

$88.33+15.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#12 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.91%
IncomeYield4.87%(5y avg 5.37%)Payout49.31%sustainable
Stop $84.99Target $101.58(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $88.33. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$195.8B
EV/EBITDA5.7
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth27.8%
Beta0.06
Dividend4.87%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.97neutral
IV41%normal
Max Pain$125+41.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
8.9
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.25Resistance $88.66

Price Targets

$85
$102
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $88.33. Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $84.99. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $101.58 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $84.99. Stop-loss: $84.99.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?

Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?

TotalEnergies SE trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TTE?

32 analysts cover TTE with a consensus score of 3.7/5.

What does TotalEnergies SE do?TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and...

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production, Integrated LNG, Integrated Power, Refining & Chemicals, and Marketing & Services segments. The Exploration & Production segment engages in the activities of exploration and production of oil and natural gas, as well as carbon storage. The Integrated LNG segment is involved in the upstream and midstream LNG activities, as well as biogas and synthetic methane activities, as well as gas trading. The Integrated Power segment engages in the generation, storage, electricity trading, and B2B-B2C distribution of gas and electricity. The Refining & Chemicals segment is involved in the industrial hub activities comprising the activities of refining, petrochemicals and specialty chemicals. This segment also includes the activities of oil supply, trading and marine shipping, as well as hydrogen activities. The Marketing & Services segment engages in the marketing activities in the field of petroleum products, as well as corresponding supply and logistics activities. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.

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