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TRIThomson Reuters CorpSell5.1·$89.21+5.06%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Thomson Reuters has delivered a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with strong operating margins of 20% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, while analysts see 33% upside to approximately $107. The stock is in a confirmed downtrend — trading below its 200-day moving average with a death cross and a -11.3%/30-day slope — creating a wide valuation opportunity that is counterbalanced by serious near-term technical risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Beat Streak With High MarginsStable
  • Severe Downtrend With Death CrossStable
  • Large Analyst Upside With High QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Thomson Reuters Corp (TRI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. At $89.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Thomson Reuters Corporation operates as a content and technology company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through five segments: Legal Professionals, Corporates, Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals, Reuters News, and Global... Read more

$89.21+16.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#18 of 29 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.31%
IncomeYield2.94%(5y avg 1.52%)Payout71.35%
Stop $82.97Target $103.82(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$119.33+33.8%12 analysts
$103.82our TP
$89.21price
$119.33mean
$146

Sell if holding. At $89.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.6
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$38.9B
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn19.9%
ROE12.7%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.17
Dividend2.94%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.59bearish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $76.28Resistance $89.50

Price Targets

$83
$104
A.Upside+16.4%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $89.21, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $82.97. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.82 (+16.4% upside). Prior stop was $82.97. Stop-loss: $82.97.

What are the risks of investing in TRI?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TRI overvalued or undervalued?

Thomson Reuters Corp trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRI?

22 analysts cover TRI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $119.

What does Thomson Reuters Corp do?Thomson Reuters Corporation operates as a content and technology company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East,...

Thomson Reuters Corporation operates as a content and technology company in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through five segments: Legal Professionals, Corporates, Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals, Reuters News, and Global Print. The Legal Professionals segment offers research and workflow products focusing on legal research and integrated legal workflow solutions that combine content, tools, and analytics to law firms and governments. The Corporates segment provides a suite of content-driven technologies, including generative AI and integrated compliance workflow solutions to small businesses and multinational organizations. Tax, Audit & Accounting Professionals segment offers research and workflow products to tax, audit, and accounting firms. The Reuters News segment provides business, financial, and international news to media organizations, professional, and news consumers through Reuters News Agency, Reuters.com, Reuters Events, Thomson Reuters products, and to financial firms. The Global Print segment offers legal and tax information primarily in print format. The company was formerly known as The Thomson Corporation and changed its name to Thomson Reuters Corporation in April 2008. The company was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada. Thomson Reuters Corporation is a subsidiary of The Woodbridge Company Limited.

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