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TEVATeva Pharmaceutical Industries Hold4.9·$36.77+0.68%
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Teva Pharmaceutical offers attractive valuation with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9x and a PEG of 0.83, backed by a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 22.4% positive surprise, but the current price leaves only 5.6% upside versus 6.8% downside, making reward-to-risk unfavorable at this entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Generic Drug Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Valuation Discount Vs Earnings PowerDeteriorating
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ShortHigh Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: generic medicines (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Teva Pharmaceutical combines a generics business ($9.4 billion in 2025 sales, 55% of total revenues) with an innovative CNS/respiratory/oncology portfolio including AUSTEDO, AJOVY, and UZEDY, operating through U.S., Europe, and International Markets segments with approximately... Read more

QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.18%
Stop $34.41Target $42.29(default +15%)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$41.20+12.0%10 analysts
$42.29our TP
$36.77price
$41.20mean
$33
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: generic medicines (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Teva Pharmaceutical Industries

About Teva Pharmaceutical Industries

Generic medicines generated $9,421 million in 2025—55% of Teva Pharmaceutical Industries' total revenues—across the United States, Europe, and International Markets segments, while the innovative CNS and migraine portfolio led by AUSTEDO, AJOVY, and UZEDY forms the company's higher-margin segment under its 'Pivot to Growth' strategy. Teva employed approximately 34,000 people across 57 markets at December 31, 2025, and held $16,807 million in consolidated debt at year-end, down from $17,783 million a year earlier.

Teva earns revenue through three business segments each managing generics, biosimilars, OTC, and innovative products in their respective regions. In the United States—the most significant market for innovative medicines—AUSTEDO is one of only two products approved for tardive dyskinesia; AJOVY competes in anti-CGRP migraine prevention against multiple products launched around the same time; UZEDY, launched in May 2023 for schizophrenia and expanded to bipolar 1 disorder in October 2025, entered a market with well-established long-acting injectable competitors. The Anda distribution unit supplies third-party generic and branded products to U.S. pharmacies and hospitals. In Europe, generic and OTC products are sold through branded and pure-generic channels across highly fragmented markets, with Teva holding a top-three position in many European countries. In 2025, Teva launched biosimilars SELARSDI (ustekinumab) and EPYSQLI (eculizumab, in partnership with Samsung Bioepis) in the U.S., and received EMA approval in November 2025 for denosumab biosimilars PONLIMSI and DEGEVMA.

Show full overview

The Inflation Reduction Act created a direct revenue risk for Teva's key innovative product: in November 2025, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services announced a negotiated maximum fair price for AUSTEDO and AUSTEDO XR, effective January 1, 2027 for eligible Medicare patients. All regulatory exclusivities for AUSTEDO have expired; settlement agreements with Lupin and Aurobindo allow generic entry beginning April 2033, or earlier under certain circumstances. The intersection of government price-setting effective 2027 and a dated generic entry window in 2033 establishes a bounded revenue ceiling for AUSTEDO at current pricing.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Teva Pharmaceutical Industries 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: generic medicines (55.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)61.3
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$42.8B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn4.1%
ROE9.7%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$50+36.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductgeneric medicines55%
    10-K Item 1A: 'total revenues from sales of our generic medicines in all our business segments were $9,421 million, or 55% of our total revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Declining revenue: -1%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Value Rank
3.7
Quality Rank
5.3
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
85 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.60Resistance $37.39

Price Targets

$34
$42
A.Upside-2.5%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEVA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: generic medicines (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $42.29 (+15.0%), stop $34.41 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the TEVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.29 (-2.5% upside). Target $42.29 (+15.0%), stop $34.41 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $34.41.

What are the risks of investing in TEVA?

Concentration risk — Product: generic medicines (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.7% away).

Is TEVA overvalued or undervalued?

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries trades at a P/E of 61.3 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TEVA?

7 analysts cover TEVA with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Teva Pharmaceutical Industries do?Teva Pharmaceutical combines a generics business ($9.4 billion in 2025 sales, 55% of total revenues) with an innovative...

Teva Pharmaceutical combines a generics business ($9.4 billion in 2025 sales, 55% of total revenues) with an innovative CNS/respiratory/oncology portfolio including AUSTEDO, AJOVY, and UZEDY, operating through U.S., Europe, and International Markets segments with approximately 34,000 employees. Consolidated debt stood at $16.8 billion at December 31, 2025.

Related stocks: NBIX (Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.) · KNSA (Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna) · LNTH (Lantheus Holdings, Inc.) · INDV (Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · AMRX (Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
Home Stocks TEVA

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