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Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna (KNSA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. At $53.34, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with ARCALYST (rilonacept) approved in the US, EU, and Japan for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa and other IL-1-mediated conditions. Revenue comes almost entirely from ARCALYST US sales ($730.3M cumulative... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.85%
Stop $49.61Target $55.24(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$63.50+19.0%8 analysts
$55.24our TP
$53.34price
$63.50mean
$72

Sell if holding. At $53.34, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)58.9
P/E (Fwd)30.5
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA38.7
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth55.5%
Beta0.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.95Resistance $59.87

Price Targets

$50
$55
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KNSA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $53.34, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $49.61. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KNSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.24 (+3.6% upside). Prior stop was $49.61. Stop-loss: $49.61.

What are the risks of investing in KNSA?

Thin upside margin: 3.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is KNSA overvalued or undervalued?

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna trades at a P/E of 58.9 (forward 30.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KNSA?

14 analysts cover KNSA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna do?Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with ARCALYST (rilonacept) approved in the US,...

Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company with ARCALYST (rilonacept) approved in the US, EU, and Japan for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa and other IL-1-mediated conditions. Revenue comes almost entirely from ARCALYST US sales ($730.3M cumulative since launch); the pipeline includes KPL-387 (Phase 2/3 for recurrent pericarditis) and KPL-1161 (preclinical).

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