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TET1 Energy Inc.Sell5.0·$8.51-7.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

T1 Energy is a pre-profitability electrical equipment company with a quality score of just 1.5 — below the minimum threshold — characterized by negative free cash flow, no reported margins, and a 78% single-customer concentration, though it carries a growth score of 10 out of 10 and a pending legal issue has been flagged by the rules engine.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Floor Quality ProfileStable
  • Single Customer ConcentrationStable
  • High Short Interest And Legal RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

T1 Energy Inc. (TE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.51: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

T1 Energy Inc. manufactures PV solar modules at its 5-gigawatt facility in Wilmer, Texas (G1_Dallas), primarily for utility-scale developers, and is constructing a 2.1-gigawatt solar cell fab in Milam County, Texas (G2_Austin). One customer represented 78% of total net sales in... Read more

$8.51+2.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#13 of 24 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.76%
Stop $7.96Target $8.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$10.07+18.3%7 analysts
$8.76our TP
$8.51price
$10.07mean
$16

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.51: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — T1 Energy Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-06T05:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 14, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: one customer (78.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas manufacturing
Target reached (2.4% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)41.8
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA-40.7
Profit Mgn-42.3%
ROE-111.1%
Rev Growth232.3%
Beta2.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV179%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerone customer78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'one customer accounted for 78% of our total net sales'
  • HIGHGeographicTexas manufacturing
    10-K Item 1A: 'a substantial portion of our manufacturing facilities and installations were in Texas'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-sourced or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Several of our key raw materials and components are either single-sourced or sourced from a limited number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief Development Officer Einar Kilde resigned effective April 22, 2026. Separation Agreement provides NOK 5.5 million severance paid in 12 monthly installments. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Directors Tore Ivar Slettemoen (March 26, 2026) and Mingxing Lin (March 30, 2026) resigned from the Board, effective immediately. Both stated no disagreement with Company operations, policies, or practices.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -42.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.8
Cash-burning: FCF -5% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Volume
3.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 7.96%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.36Resistance $12.49

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-14 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.51: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.96. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.76 (+2.3% upside). Prior stop was $7.96. Stop-loss: $7.96.

What are the risks of investing in TE?

Concentration risk — Customer: one customer (78.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas manufacturing; Target reached (2.4% upside).

Is TE overvalued or undervalued?

T1 Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 41.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TE?

13 analysts cover TE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $10.

What does T1 Energy Inc. do?T1 Energy Inc. manufactures PV solar modules at its 5-gigawatt facility in Wilmer, Texas (G1_Dallas), primarily for...

T1 Energy Inc. manufactures PV solar modules at its 5-gigawatt facility in Wilmer, Texas (G1_Dallas), primarily for utility-scale developers, and is constructing a 2.1-gigawatt solar cell fab in Milam County, Texas (G2_Austin). One customer represented 78% of total net sales in 2025; the company reported a net loss of $367.8 million and an accumulated deficit of $1,093.1 million at December 31, 2025.

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