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T1 Energy Inc. (TE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.22; Below-average business quality.

T1 Energy manufactures PV solar modules at its 5 GW G1_Dallas facility in Wilmer, Texas and is constructing a 2.1 GW solar cell fab (G2_Austin). It sells modules to utility-scale, C&I, and residential customers exclusively in the U.S. market; in 2025, one customer drove 78% of... Read more

$7.05+15.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 18 Electrical Equipment & Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-2.16%
Stop $6.40Target $7.92(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$9.10+29.1%5 analysts
$7.92our TP
$7.05price
$9.10mean
$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.22; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — T1 Energy Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 27, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Einar Kilde (Chief Development Officer) submitted retirement effective April 22, 2026. Separation Agreement provides NOK 5.5M severance in 12 installments. No successor named.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: single customer (78% of net sales) (78.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA-34.7
Profit Mgn-42.3%
ROE-111.1%
Rev Growth232.3%
Beta1.78
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.22bearish
IV149%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomersingle customer (78% of net sales)78%
    10-K Item 1A: 'one customer accounted for 78% of our total net sales'
  • HIGHGeographicTexas
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business is concentrated in certain markets including Texas, putting us at risk of region-specific disruptions'
  • MEDIUMSuppliersingle-sourced raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'Several of our key raw materials and components are either single-sourced or sourced from a limited number of suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-27Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Einar Kilde (Chief Development Officer) submitted retirement effective April 22, 2026. Separation Agreement provides NOK 5.5M severance in 12 installments. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02LOW
    Tore Ivar Slettemoen and Mingxing Lin resigned from the Board of Directors effective March 26 and March 30, 2026 respectively. Not related to any disagreement with the Company.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Unprofitable operations — net margin -42.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.8
Cash-burning: FCF -5% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 9.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.4
Debt Equity
3.4
Beta
4.1
Days To Cover
8.5
High short interest justified: 21%Elevated put/call: 2.22High IV: 149%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
4.1
Gap
7.5
Extreme gap down (-5.6%) - potential reversal

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.59Resistance $7.18

Price Targets

$6
$8
A.Upside+12.3%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-14 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.22; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $6.40. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.92 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $6.40. Stop-loss: $6.40.

What are the risks of investing in TE?

Concentration risk — Customer: single customer (78% of net sales) (78.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is TE overvalued or undervalued?

T1 Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TE?

13 analysts cover TE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $9.

What does T1 Energy Inc. do?T1 Energy manufactures PV solar modules at its 5 GW G1_Dallas facility in Wilmer, Texas and is constructing a 2.1 GW...

T1 Energy manufactures PV solar modules at its 5 GW G1_Dallas facility in Wilmer, Texas and is constructing a 2.1 GW solar cell fab (G2_Austin). It sells modules to utility-scale, C&I, and residential customers exclusively in the U.S. market; in 2025, one customer drove 78% of total net sales.

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