TAL Education Group has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 145% upside surprise, shows 32% revenue growth, and analysts see 68% price upside from the current $9.32, but a death cross with price below all moving averages and a confirmed downtrend demand patience before the fundamental case can be captured.
Thesis pillars
- Wide Economic Moat Quality Profile→Stable
- Extraordinary Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Revenue Growth 32 Percent→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — TAL Education Group
Latest news
- NEWS TAL Education Group American Depositary Shares (TAL) notches sharp Q1 2026 EPS beat alongside 51 percent year over year — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng positive
- NEWS TAL (TAL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - AOL.com — AOL.com neutral
- NEWS TAL (TAL) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool neutral
- NEWS TAL (TAL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool neutral
- NEWS TAL (TAL) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript - AOL.com — AOL.com neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T05:12:17Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $10.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $14.03 (+36.2%), stop $9.76 (−5.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.03 (+36.2% upside). Target $14.03 (+36.2%), stop $9.76 (−5.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $9.76.
Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
TAL Education Group trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Hold.
24 analysts cover TAL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $16.
What does TAL Education Group do?TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services...
TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content solutions for learners across print, digital and device-based formats, including print books, books integrated with digital learning experiences, learning devices, and mobile applications. In addition, it offers online education services, including live class and pre-recorded course content through www.xueersi.com. Further, the company engages in development and sale of software, network, and learning devices; investment management and consulting services. TAL Education Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.