TAL Education Group has delivered four consecutive earnings beats averaging 145% upside surprise, shows 32% revenue growth, and analysts see 68% price upside from the current $9.32, but a death cross with price below all moving averages and a confirmed downtrend demand patience before the fundamental case can be captured.
Thesis pillars
- Wide Economic Moat Quality Profile→Stable
- Extraordinary Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Revenue Growth 32 Percent→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
TAL Education Group (TAL) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Wait for pullback to $11.11. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $11.65. Engine's entry $11.11 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum.
TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content... Read more
Wait for pullback to $11.11. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $11.65. Engine's entry $11.11 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.4) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=consumer defensive 0/10). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — TAL Education Group
Latest news
- NEWS TAL Education Surges As Traders Bet On Earnings - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
- NEWS TAL|TAL Education Group|Price:10.365|Chg%:+0.035 - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS TAL Education Group American Depositary Shares (TAL) notches sharp Q1 2026 EPS beat alongside 51 percent year over year — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng positive
- NEWS TAL (TAL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - AOL.com — AOL.com neutral
- NEWS Why Is TAL Education (NYSE:TAL) in Focus After 34% Revenue Growth? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media positive
Generated 2026-08-15T10:44:21Z.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $11.11. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $11.65. Engine's entry $11.11 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.4) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $14.41 (+23.7%), stop $10.33 (−12.8%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $14.41 (+23.7% upside). Target $14.41 (+23.7%), stop $10.33 (−12.8%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $10.33.
Negative momentum.
TAL Education Group trades at a P/E of 7.4 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
24 analysts cover TAL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $16.
What does TAL Education Group do?TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services...
TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content solutions for learners across print, digital and device-based formats, including print books, books integrated with digital learning experiences, learning devices, and mobile applications. In addition, it offers online education services, including live class and pre-recorded course content through www.xueersi.com. Further, the company engages in development and sale of software, network, and learning devices; investment management and consulting services. TAL Education Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.