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STRZStarz Entertainment Corp.Sell3.8·$30.10+3.83%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Starz Entertainment shows insider selling and a below-floor quality score against declining revenue, with a negative asymmetry read after the prior target was reached and options positioning tilted defensively.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach Declining RevenueStable
  • Insider Selling Bearish SignalStable
  • Negative Asymmetry Target ReachedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Starz Entertainment Corp. (STRZ) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.10: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality.

Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the... Read more

$30.10+6.1% A.UpsideScore 3.8/10#34 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $27.99Target $31.93(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$30.33+0.8%9 analysts
$31.93our TP
$30.10price
$30.33mean
$15
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.10: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Starz Entertainment Corp.

Generated 2026-07-07T14:22:12Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-7.2
Mkt Cap$487M
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn-13.2%
ROE
Rev Growth-7.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.63bearish
IV116%elevated
Max Pain$23-23.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.7
Declining revenue: -7%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -13.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Gross Margin
6.1
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Erm
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.9
Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
8.5
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.83Resistance $32.58

Price Targets

$28
$32
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STRZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.10: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.99. Score 3.8/10, high confidence.

What is the STRZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.93 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $27.99. Stop-loss: $27.99.

What are the risks of investing in STRZ?

Target reached (-12.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is STRZ overvalued or undervalued?

Starz Entertainment Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STRZ?

15 analysts cover STRZ with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Starz Entertainment Corp. do?Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business")...

Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the domestic distribution of STARZ branded premium subscription video services through over-the-top ("OTT") streaming platforms and distributors, on a direct-to-consumer basis through the Starz App and through wholesale U.S.

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