Skip to main content
STRZStarz Entertainment Corp.Hold4.8·$20.69
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Starz Entertainment shows insider selling and a below-floor quality score against declining revenue, with a negative asymmetry read after the prior target was reached and options positioning tilted defensively.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach Declining Revenue↓Deteriorating
  • Insider Selling Bearish Signal→Stable
  • Negative Asymmetry Target Reached→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Starz Entertainment Corp. (STRZ) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $389M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.41% of cap).

Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the... Read more

$20.69+48.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#23 of 33 Entertainment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $19.24Target $30.62(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$35.20+70.1%10 analysts
$30.62our TP
$20.69price
$35.20mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $389M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.41% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $389M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25

Recent Developments — Starz Entertainment Corp.

Generated 2026-09-25T20:52:03Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $389M below $400M minimum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.41% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-5.0
Mkt Cap$389M
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn-25.1%
ROE—
Rev Growth-3.7%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C16.50bearish
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$25+20.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -3.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.6
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -25.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Gross Margin
6.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
9.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
30 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.75Resistance $28.76

Price Targets

$19
$31
A.Upside+48.0%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $389M below $400M minimum
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.41% of cap)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STRZ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $389M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.41% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $389M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $30.62 (+48.0%), stop $19.24 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STRZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.62 (+48.0% upside). Target $30.62 (+48.0%), stop $19.24 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.2:1. Stop-loss: $19.24.

What are the risks of investing in STRZ?

Market cap $389M below $400M minimum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (23 sells, 0.41% of cap).

Is STRZ overvalued or undervalued?

Starz Entertainment Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STRZ?

15 analysts cover STRZ with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $35.

What does Starz Entertainment Corp. do?Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business")...

Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the domestic distribution of STARZ branded premium subscription video services through over-the-top ("OTT") streaming platforms and distributors, on a direct-to-consumer basis through the Starz App and through wholesale U.S.

Related stocks: ANGX (Angel Studios, Inc.) · MSGE (Madison Square Garden Entertain) · MCS (Marcus Corporation (The)) · IMAX (Imax Corporation) · AMC (AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc)
Home › Stocks › STRZ

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga2d ago
Benzinga43d ago
Benzinga49d ago
Benzinga49d ago
Benzinga58d agoProduct
Benzinga73d ago
Benzinga87d ago