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STRZStarz Entertainment Corp.Sell5.2·$23.36
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Starz Entertainment shows insider selling and a below-floor quality score against declining revenue, with a negative asymmetry read after the prior target was reached and options positioning tilted defensively.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Breach Declining Revenue↓Deteriorating
  • Insider Selling Bearish Signal↓Deteriorating
  • Negative Asymmetry Target Reached↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 26, 2025· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Starz Entertainment Corp. (STRZ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.36: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the... Read more

$23.36+30.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#21 of 31 Entertainment
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $21.72Analyst target $30.45(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst consensus$35.00+49.8%10 analysts with price targets
$30.45Analyst target
$23.36price
$35.00mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.36: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, earnings proximity 106d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — Starz Entertainment Corp.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Oct 6, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:59:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 18, 2027106d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.29% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-5.2
Mkt Cap$403M
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn-23.6%
ROE—
Rev Growth0.5%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$34+45.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-10-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-09-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -23.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.3
Moat
5.4
Piotroski F
5.6
Gross Margin
7.1
No competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
2.6
Value Rank
9.4
GatesINSIDER 11.27%=EXTREMEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 106d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.70Resistance $26.49

Price Targets

$22
$30
A.Upside+30.4%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.29% of cap)
! Insider activity: 11.27%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-18 (106d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STRZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.36: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $21.72. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STRZ stock price target?

Analyst target: $30.45 (+30.4% upside). Prior stop was $21.72. Stop-loss: $21.72.

What are the risks of investing in STRZ?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.4%), Material insider selling (13 sells, 0.29% of cap).

Is STRZ overvalued or undervalued?

Starz Entertainment Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STRZ?

16 analysts rate STRZ, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $35.

What does Starz Entertainment Corp. do?Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business")...

Prior to the Separation, as defined and further discussed below, Starz Entertainment Corp. (the "Starz Business") substantially consisted of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp's ("Old Lionsgate" or "Parent") Media Networks segment consisting of (i) Starz Networks, which includes the domestic distribution of STARZ branded premium subscription video services through over-the-top ("OTT") streaming platforms and distributors, on a direct-to-consumer basis through the Starz App and through wholesale U.S.

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