Skip to main content
SSLSasol Ltd.Sell5.1·$9.88+3.02%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sasol trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0x with a PEG of 0.01 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, offering statistical cheapness, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging -26% below consensus and confirmed downward price momentum make the value case a potentially extended wait.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward PeStable
  • Oversold Technical Bounce PotentialStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sasol Ltd. (SSL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $9.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 5.3%.

Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels... Read more

$9.88+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#29 of 40 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield75.75%
Stop $9.12Target $10.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$12.00+21.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $9.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Sasol Ltd.

Generated 2026-07-06T00:20:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 31, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Consecutive earnings misses (4)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.1
P/E (Fwd)5.8
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA2.0
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE2.5%
Rev Growth0.2%
Beta-0.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV129%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.0
Value Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
15 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.40Resistance $13.82

Price Targets

$9
$10
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-31 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $9.88, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.12. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.20 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $9.12. Stop-loss: $9.12.

What are the risks of investing in SSL?

Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Consecutive earnings misses (4); Weak growth.

Is SSL overvalued or undervalued?

Sasol Ltd. trades at a P/E of 42.1 (forward 5.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SSL?

14 analysts cover SSL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Sasol Ltd. do?Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha,...

Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels or domestic, as well as illuminating paraffin transport fuels, such as petrol, diesel, and jet fuels. The company also provides methane rich and natural gas. In addition, it offers ammonium nitrate, limestone ammonium nitrate, and nitric acid for agriculture; industrial foaming agents, wax/hydrophobic coatings and industrial pegs, dispersible hydrates, boehmites, and aluminum oxides for building and construction; short-chain alcohols for flavors and fragrances; liquids, flakes, powders, and polyethylene glycols for health and wellness; caustic soda, hydrochloric acid CP Grade, and calcium chloride for industrial and institutional cleaning; alumina-based catalyst, cobalt FT catalysts, and mixed metal oxides for inorganic materials and catalysts; chemical feedstocks, process solvents, and chemicals for manufacturing and industrial; viscosity modifiers, chemical carriers, and adsorbents for mining, oil, and gas; hydrocarbons, surfactants, polyether, and polyglycols for paper and water; surfactants, dyes, finishing agents, tanning agents, and emulsifiers for textile and leather; and other chemicals for automotive and transportation, consumer goods, home care, packaging, printing, coatings, personal care, and polymers sectors. Further, it is involved in engineering services, research and development, and technology transfer; management of cash resources, investments, and procurement of loans; develop and implement international gas to liquid and CTL ventures; marketing of fuels and lubricants; trading and transportation of oil products, petrochemicals and chemical products, and derivatives; and coal mining activities. Sasol Limited was founded in 1950 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Related stocks: SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.) · ECVT (Ecovyst Inc.) · FUL (H. B. Fuller Company) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation) · MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.)
Home Stocks SSL

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga20d ago
Benzinga21d ago
Benzinga30d agoAnalyst
Benzinga31d agoAnalyst
Benzinga74d ago
Benzinga89d ago
Benzinga89d ago