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SSLSasol Ltd.Sell6.0·$12.52-1.26%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sasol trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 5.0x with a PEG of 0.01 and a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, offering statistical cheapness, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging -26% below consensus and confirmed downward price momentum make the value case a potentially extended wait.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Forward PeImproving
  • Oversold Technical Bounce PotentialImproving
  • Consecutive Earnings Miss StreakDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sasol Ltd. (SSL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company in South Africa, Mozambique, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial... Read more

$12.52-17.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#9 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield8.14%
Stop $11.55Target $14.20(default +15%)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$12.00-4.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 1, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.1
P/E (Fwd)7.6
Mkt Cap$8.1B
EV/EBITDA1.6
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth17.9%
Beta-0.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.04Resistance $12.73

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside-17.4%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-01 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.52 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $11.55. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.20 (-17.4% upside). Prior stop was $11.55. Stop-loss: $11.55.

What are the risks of investing in SSL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is SSL overvalued or undervalued?

Sasol Ltd. trades at a P/E of 55.1 (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SSL?

14 analysts cover SSL with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Sasol Ltd. do?Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company in South Africa, Mozambique, the United States, Europe, and...

Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company in South Africa, Mozambique, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels, as well as illuminating paraffin transport fuels, such as petrol, diesel, and jet fuels. The company also provides methane rich and natural gas; leaners and degreasers; hydrocarbon liquid fuel; specialty gas, butane, and propane; gasoline, kerosene (jet fuel), olefins, alcohols, polymers, solvents, surfactants, co-monomers, ammonia, methanol, crude tar acids, sulphur, and fuel oil; gas to liquid fuel; sustainable aviation fuel; and other fuels, as well as engages in the wholesale of motor fuels. In addition, it is involved in engineering, research and development, and technology transfer; management of cash resources, investments, and procurement of loans; development and implementation of international gas to liquid and CTL ventures; marketing of fuels and lubricants; production, trading, and transportation of oil products, petrochemicals and chemical products, and derivatives; and coal mining activities. The company serves adhesives, agriculture and forestry, automotive and transportation, aviation, burner fuels, chemicals, construction and materials, corrosion protection, electrical and electronics, flavors and fragrances, furniture, health and medical, household and consumer goods, industrial products, lubricants, manufacturing, mining, packaging, paints and coatings, personal care, pharmaceuticals, plastics and polymers, publishing and inks, pulp and paper, rubber and tires, specialty graphite, steel and foundry, textile and leather, water treatment, and other industries. Sasol Limited was founded in 1950 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

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