Simpson Manufacturing earns a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has already reached the analyst consensus price target and offers effectively no near-term upside at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Target Reached Limited Upside↓Deteriorating
- Piotroski Perfect Quality Score→Stable
- North America Geographic Concentration→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Simpson Manufacturing Company, (SSD) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production
Wait for pullback to $185.53. BUY gates pass at $193.88, but concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $185.53 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly... Read more
Wait for pullback to $185.53. BUY gates pass at $193.88, but concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $185.53 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Simpson Manufacturing Company,
Latest news
- NEWS These Analysts Raise Their Forecasts On Simpson Manufacturing Following Strong Q1 Results - Sahm — Sahm positive
- NEWS Livforsakringsbolaget Skandia Omsesidigt Purchases New Holdings in Simpson Manufacturing Company, Inc. $SSD - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing : 2026 Proxy Statement - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
- NEWS Can Sandisk's QLC SSD Portfolio Drive Sustainable Growth Ahead? - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS The Strong-Drive SDWH Timber-Hex Screw from SSD - a heavy-duty fastener built for engineered wood - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:05Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNorth America segment78%10-K Item 1: 'the North America Segment accounting for approximately 77.8% of net sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomerlargest customers10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest customers accounted for a significant portion of net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $185.53. BUY gates pass at $193.88, but concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%) and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $185.53 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $207.05 (+6.8%), stop $175.41 (−10.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $207.05 (-2.3% upside). Target $207.05 (+6.8%), stop $175.41 (−10.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $175.41.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Simpson Manufacturing Company, trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
10 analysts cover SSD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $218.
What does Simpson Manufacturing Company, do?Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force...
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly 26.5%) from international markets. Products reach builders through dealers, home centers, distributors, and contractors globally.