Simpson Manufacturing earns a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has already reached the analyst consensus price target and offers effectively no near-term upside at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Target Reached Limited Upside→Stable
- Piotroski Perfect Quality Score→Stable
- North America Geographic Concentration→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Simpson Manufacturing Company, (SSD) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $197.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%).
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $197.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — Simpson Manufacturing Company,
Latest news
- NEWS These Analysts Raise Their Forecasts On Simpson Manufacturing Following Strong Q1 Results - Sahm — Sahm positive
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing : 2026 Proxy Statement - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
- NEWS Can Sandisk's QLC SSD Portfolio Drive Sustainable Growth Ahead? - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS DA Davidson Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for Simpson Manufacturing (NYSE:SSD) Stock - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Stifel raises Simpson Manufacturing stock price target on strong Q1 By Investing.com - Investing.com Australia — Investing.com Australia positive
Generated 2026-07-07T09:31:42Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNorth America segment78%10-K Item 1: 'the North America Segment accounting for approximately 77.8% of net sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomerlargest customers10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest customers accounted for a significant portion of net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $197.62 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $185.42. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $208.92 (+5.7% upside). Prior stop was $185.42. Stop-loss: $185.42.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.
Simpson Manufacturing Company, trades at a P/E of 23.6 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover SSD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $218.
What does Simpson Manufacturing Company, do?Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force...
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly 26.5%) from international markets. Products reach builders through dealers, home centers, distributors, and contractors globally.