Simpson Manufacturing earns a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has already reached the analyst consensus price target and offers effectively no near-term upside at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Target Reached Limited Upside↓Deteriorating
- Piotroski Perfect Quality Score↓Deteriorating
- North America Geographic Concentration↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days
Simpson Manufacturing Company, (SSD) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $196.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $196.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Oct 21, 2026Recent Developments — Simpson Manufacturing Company,
Latest news
- NEWS DA Davidson maintains Simpson Manufacturing stock rating on land sale timing shift - Investing.com — Investing.com Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS DA Davidson maintains Simpson Manufacturing stock rating on land sale timing shift - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Jupiter Topco LLC Invests $3.83 Million in Simpson Manufacturing Company, Inc. $SSD - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Sep 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS The best weekend SSD deals: Stock up on Samsung and SanDisk hard drives - Mashable — Mashable Aug 26, 2026 positive
- NEWS Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. Takes $5.25 Million Position in Simpson Manufacturing Company, Inc. $SSD - MarketBe — MarketBeat Aug 26, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:54:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNorth America segment78%10-K Item 1: 'the North America Segment accounting for approximately 77.8% of net sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomerlargest customers10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest customers accounted for a significant portion of net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $196.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Analyst target $185.83 reached (−5.6%), stop $186.35 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $185.83 reached (−5.6% from $196.85); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $185.83 reached (−5.6%), stop $186.35 (−5.6%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $186.35.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Simpson Manufacturing Company, trades at a P/E of 21.3 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
10 analysts rate SSD, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $214.
What does Simpson Manufacturing Company, do?Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force...
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly 26.5%) from international markets. Products reach builders through dealers, home centers, distributors, and contractors globally.