Simpson Manufacturing earns a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has already reached the analyst consensus price target and offers effectively no near-term upside at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Target Reached Limited Upside→Stable
- Piotroski Perfect Quality Score→Stable
- North America Geographic Concentration↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Simpson Manufacturing Company, (SSD) Stock Analysis
Sector Rotation edge
Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $171.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $171.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — Simpson Manufacturing Company,
Latest news
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing Balances Strong Q2 With H2 Caution - TipRanks — TipRanks neutral
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc (SSD) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc (SSD) Institutional Confidence - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc (SSD) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing Co Inc (SSD) Valuation: PE, PB & Fair Value Analysis - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
Generated 2026-10-15T11:32:15Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNorth America segment78%10-K Item 1: 'the North America Segment accounting for approximately 77.8% of net sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomerlargest customers10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest customers accounted for a significant portion of net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $171.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $190.53 (+11.4%), stop $163.72 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $190.53 (+11.4% upside). Target $190.53 (+11.4%), stop $163.72 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $163.72.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.
Simpson Manufacturing Company, trades at a P/E of 18.8 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
10 analysts cover SSD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $219.
What does Simpson Manufacturing Company, do?Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force...
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly 26.5%) from international markets. Products reach builders through dealers, home centers, distributors, and contractors globally.