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Simpson Manufacturing Company, (SSD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $190.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Simpson Manufacturing designs and manufactures structural connectors, fasteners, anchors, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction, primarily in the US (~73.5% of 2025 consolidated sales) with growing European operations (~26.5% of sales). Revenue... Read more

$190.62+0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 4 Lumber & Wood Production
Stop $177.28Target $189.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$217.80+14.3%5 analysts
$189.49our TP
$190.62price
$217.80mean
$230

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $190.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, news boost analyst 0.40, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE18.1%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.61%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C3.86bearish
IV35%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliersteel (principal raw material)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Steel is the principal raw material used in the manufacture of many of our products. The price of steel has historically fluctuated on a cyclical basis'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $163.33Resistance $199.75

Price Targets

$177
$189
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $190.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $189.49 (-0.6%), stop $177.28 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $189.49 (+0.3% upside). Target $189.49 (-0.6%), stop $177.28 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $177.28.

What are the risks of investing in SSD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SSD overvalued or undervalued?

Simpson Manufacturing Company, trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SSD?

8 analysts cover SSD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $218.

What does Simpson Manufacturing Company, do?Simpson Manufacturing designs and manufactures structural connectors, fasteners, anchors, and lateral-force resisting...

Simpson Manufacturing designs and manufactures structural connectors, fasteners, anchors, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction, primarily in the US (~73.5% of 2025 consolidated sales) with growing European operations (~26.5% of sales). Revenue is driven by US housing starts and residential construction activity; steel is the principal raw material.

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