Boise Cascade has a strong earnings beat record and a sound Piotroski score, but the price is already at the analyst target, cash conversion is weak and earnings depend on one segment and one product line.
Thesis pillars
- Price At Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Beat Record↑Improving
- Segment Product Concentration↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026
Boise Cascade, L.L.C. (BCC) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup · Sector Rotation edge
Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.50; Below-average business quality.
Boise Cascade distributes building materials and manufactures engineered wood products (EWP) and plywood across two segments: Building Materials Distribution (BMD, $5.9 billion net sales in 2025) and Wood Products ($1.6 billion). BMD sells to dealers, home improvement centers,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 109d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Boise Cascade, L.L.C.
Latest news
- NEWS Truist Securities Maintains Buy on Boise Cascade, Lowers Price Target to $86 — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS Truist Securities Adjusts Price Target on Boise Cascade to $86 From $97, Keeps Buy Rating — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Boise Cascade Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Boise Cascade Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026
- NEWS Boise Cascade Says Early Industry Projections Indicate 2027 Housing Starts Will Decline Mid-Single Digits From 2026 — benzinga Nov 2, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:49:09Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerBMD segment71%10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 71% of our Wood Products sales in 2025 were to our BMD business'
- MEDIUMCommoditywood fiber10-K Item 1A: 'Wood fiber is our principal raw material'
- HIGHProductEWP60%10-K Item 1: 'EWP and plywood accounted for 60% and 31%, respectively, of our Wood Products sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 11.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $72.52. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $79.17 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $72.52. Stop-loss: $72.52.
Concentration risk — Customer: BMD segment (71.0%); Concentration risk — Product: EWP (60.0%); Target reached (1.5% upside).
Boise Cascade, L.L.C. trades at a P/E of 22.9 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts rate BCC, with a consensus score of 3.5/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $91.
What does Boise Cascade, L.L.C. do?Boise Cascade distributes building materials and manufactures engineered wood products (EWP) and plywood across two...
Boise Cascade distributes building materials and manufactures engineered wood products (EWP) and plywood across two segments: Building Materials Distribution (BMD, $5.9 billion net sales in 2025) and Wood Products ($1.6 billion). BMD sells to dealers, home improvement centers, and specialty distributors through 40 nationwide facilities; Builders FirstSource and Home Depot are the company's largest customers.