Boise Cascade, L.L.C. (BCC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the BCC stock price target?

Take-profit $80.04 (+18.4% upside). Prior stop was $63.53.

Q: What are the risks of investing in BCC?

Concentration risk — Customer: BMD segment (71.0%); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0); Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is BCC overvalued or undervalued?

Boise Cascade, L.L.C. trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about BCC?

11 analysts cover BCC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $92.

Q: What does Boise Cascade, L.L.C. do?

Boise Cascade is one of the largest U.S. wholesale distributors of building materials (BMD segment, $5.94B 2025 sales) and a manufacturer of engineered wood products and plywood (Wood Products segment, $1.61B). Products are used in new residential construction, repair-and-remodel, and light commercial; Builders FirstSource and Home Depot are the largest customers. BMD is the Wood Products segment's largest customer, representing approximately 71% of Wood Products sales in 2025.

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 8:16 AM ET)

Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.60: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

$67.60+18.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#2 of 4 Lumber & Wood Production

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1.06%

IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 0.74%)Payout29.29%sustainable

Stop $63.53Target $80.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1

Analyst target$92.00+36.1%6 analysts

$80.04our TP

$67.60price

$92.00mean

$105

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Boise Cascade, L.L.C.

Latest news

DA Davidson Maintains Buy on Boise Cascade, Lowers Price Target to $92 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Boise Cascade Reports Q1 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga May 5, 2026 neutral
Boise Cascade Q1 EPS $0.50 Beats $0.42 Estimate, Sales $1.499B Beat $1.460B Estimate — benzinga May 4, 2026 positive
Earnings Scheduled For May 4, 2026 — benzinga May 4, 2026 neutral
Truist Securities Maintains Buy on Boise Cascade, Lowers Price Target to $100 — benzinga Apr 15, 2026 neutral

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: BMD segment (71.0%)

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8

P/E (Fwd)12.5

Mkt Cap$2.4B

EV/EBITDA8.3

Profit Mgn1.7%

ROE5.3%

Rev Growth-2.5%

Beta1.12

Dividend1.30%

Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish

IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomerBMD segment71%
10-K Item 1: 'Our BMD segment is our Wood Products segment's largest customer, representing approximately 71% of our Wood Products segment's overall sales in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.315%1.25

Quality3.015%0.45

Growth6.015%0.90

Momentum3.310%0.33

Sentiment6.910%0.69

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.110%0.41

Technical Setup7.05%0.35

Risk Profile6.75%0.34

Catalyst6.15%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)5.51

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Operating Margin

0.7

Net Margin

0.9

Roe

1.8

Roa

1.9

Moat

4.6

Piotroski F

7.8

Current Ratio

9.3

Earnings quality RED FLAG: -23% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Ma Position

1.0

Volume

2.5

Rsi

3.0

Obv

10.0

Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

23 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.50Resistance $85.87

Price Targets

$64

$80

A.Upside+18.4%

A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BCC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $67.60: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $63.53. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.04 (+18.4% upside). Prior stop was $63.53. Stop-loss: $63.53.

What are the risks of investing in BCC?

Concentration risk — Customer: BMD segment (71.0%); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is BCC overvalued or undervalued?

Boise Cascade, L.L.C. trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BCC?

11 analysts cover BCC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $92.

What does Boise Cascade, L.L.C. do?Boise Cascade is one of the largest U.S. wholesale distributors of building materials (BMD segment, $5.94B 2025 sales)...

Boise Cascade is one of the largest U.S. wholesale distributors of building materials (BMD segment, $5.94B 2025 sales) and a manufacturer of engineered wood products and plywood (Wood Products segment, $1.61B). Products are used in new residential construction, repair-and-remodel, and light commercial; Builders FirstSource and Home Depot are the largest customers. BMD is the Wood Products segment's largest customer, representing approximately 71% of Wood Products sales in 2025.