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SSBSouthState Bank CorporationHold6.6·$100.16-1.17%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SouthState Bank has delivered four consecutive quarters of earnings beats averaging more than 10% above consensus and carries a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.3x that is attractive relative to 23% year-over-year earnings growth, though the stock has approached analyst targets and upside is now thin.

Thesis pillars

  • Cre Loan Concentration RiskStable
  • Consecutive Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Attractive Valuation Growth ComboStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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SouthState Bank Corporation (SSB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

SouthState Bank Corporation is a Florida-based bank holding company with $67.2 billion in assets and 342 branches across Florida, South Carolina, Texas, Georgia, and four additional states. Revenue is primarily net interest income on $48.6 billion in loans, of which 58% is... Read more

$100.16+6.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#10 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.40%(5y avg 2.46%)Payout25.22%sustainable
Entry $94.72(support + ATR)Stop $90.89Target $100.99(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$116.08+15.9%13 analysts
$100.99our TP
$100.16price
$116.08mean
$125

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $100.16 has reached target $100.99. No upside to wait for. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About SouthState Bank Corporation

About SouthState Bank Corporation

SouthState Bank Corporation held $67.2 billion in total assets and $48.6 billion in loans at December 31, 2025, following the January 1, 2025 acquisition of Independent Bank Group that extended the company's footprint into Texas and Colorado. The Bank—a national banking association supervised by the OCC—operates 342 branches across Florida, South Carolina, Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, Colorado, Alabama, and Virginia, with $55.1 billion in deposits.

SouthState earns primarily net interest income on its loan portfolio: commercial real estate (58%, $28.0 billion, including owner-occupied, non-owner-occupied, construction, and land development), residential real estate (21%, $10.5 billion), commercial and industrial loans (19%, $9.2 billion), and consumer loans (2%, $1.0 billion). The deposit base is 24% noninterest-bearing and 76% interest-bearing. Beyond traditional banking, the Bank operates a correspondent banking and capital markets division serving over 1,200 small and medium-sized community financial institutions and credit unions nationwide, earning commissions on fixed-income sales and hedging fees primarily from Atlanta and Birmingham. Wealth management is offered through SouthState PCM, an investment adviser created by a December 31, 2025 merger of SouthState Advisory and Private Capital Management acquired via the Independent Merger. Corporate Billing, headquartered in Decatur, Alabama, provides factoring and accounts receivable services to transportation and automotive companies.

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With commercial real estate loans totaling $28.0 billion and representing 58% of the loan portfolio, SouthState faces above-average sensitivity to commercial property valuation cycles. The 10-K identifies a significant portion of the loan portfolio being secured by real estate as a material risk factor, and the January 2025 Independent Merger substantially expanded the CRE book by adding Texas and Colorado markets. If commercial real estate valuations decline across the Southeast or Texas, provisioning requirements could increase materially, with limited offset from consumer lending at only 2% of total loans.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From SouthState Bank Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — SouthState Bank Corporation

Generated 2026-07-06T04:31:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.8
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn34.9%
ROE10.6%
Rev Growth22.8%
Beta0.70
Dividend2.40%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1: '$28.0 billion, or 58%, of our loan portfolio consisted of loans secured by commercial real estate'
  • LOWloan_portfolioresidential real estate loans21%
    10-K Item 1: '$10.5 billion, or 21%, of our loan portfolio consisted of residential real estate loans'
  • LOWloan_portfoliocommercial and industrial loans19%
    10-K Item 1: '$9.2 billion, or 19%, of our loan portfolio consisted of commercial and industrial loans'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $93.70Resistance $102.17

Price Targets

$91
$95
$101
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $100.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $100.16 has reached target $100.99. No upside to wait for. Target $100.99 (+0.8%), stop $90.89 (−10.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $100.99 (+6.6% upside). Target $100.99 (+0.8%), stop $90.89 (−10.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $90.89.

What are the risks of investing in SSB?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SSB overvalued or undervalued?

SouthState Bank Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SSB?

18 analysts cover SSB with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $116.

What does SouthState Bank Corporation do?SouthState Bank Corporation is a Florida-based bank holding company with $67.2 billion in assets and 342 branches...

SouthState Bank Corporation is a Florida-based bank holding company with $67.2 billion in assets and 342 branches across Florida, South Carolina, Texas, Georgia, and four additional states. Revenue is primarily net interest income on $48.6 billion in loans, of which 58% is commercial real estate. The Bank also serves over 1,200 community financial institutions through a correspondent banking and capital markets division.

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