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SouthState Bank Corporation (SSB) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.0%.

SouthState Bank Corporation is a $67.2B-asset bank holding company headquartered in Winter Haven, Florida with 342 branches across FL, SC, TX, GA, CO, NC, AL, and VA. Revenue is primarily net interest income from commercial real estate, residential, C&I, and consumer lending,... Read more

$92.03+9.0% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#7 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.61%(5y avg 2.46%)Payout25.22%sustainable
Stop $88.40Target $100.32(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$115.31+25.3%13 analysts
$100.32our TP
$92.03price
$115.31mean
$125

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.0%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — SouthState Bank Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%)
Thin upside margin: 9.0%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.9
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$9.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn34.9%
ROE10.6%
Rev Growth22.8%
Beta0.72
Dividend2.61%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$50-45.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, $28.0 billion, or 58%, of our loan portfolio consisted of loans secured by commercial real estate'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Obv
6.7
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $91.13Resistance $99.30

Price Targets

$88
$100
A.Upside+9.0%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $92.03, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.0%. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $100.32 (+9.0%), stop $88.40 (−4.1%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $100.32 (+9.0% upside). Target $100.32 (+9.0%), stop $88.40 (−4.1%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $88.40.

What are the risks of investing in SSB?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial real estate loans (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.0%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is SSB overvalued or undervalued?

SouthState Bank Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.9 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SSB?

17 analysts cover SSB with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $115.

What does SouthState Bank Corporation do?SouthState Bank Corporation is a $67.2B-asset bank holding company headquartered in Winter Haven, Florida with 342...

SouthState Bank Corporation is a $67.2B-asset bank holding company headquartered in Winter Haven, Florida with 342 branches across FL, SC, TX, GA, CO, NC, AL, and VA. Revenue is primarily net interest income from commercial real estate, residential, C&I, and consumer lending, plus correspondent banking and capital markets fees.

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