SQM has grown revenue 70% year-over-year and leads its specialty chemicals peer group on growth, with a Piotroski score of 9 out of 9 and free cash flow at 210% of net income, but has missed analyst earnings estimates in all 4 of the last reported quarters by an average of -20.5%, and recent negative news sentiment has triggered a downward thesis modifier.
Thesis pillars
- Peer Best Margins Specialist↓Deteriorating
- Exceptional Revenue Growth Leader→Stable
- High Quality Cash Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. (SQM) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $79.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in Chile, Latin America, the Caribbean, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It offers potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, specialty blends, and other... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $79.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-4.0% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 7.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS SQM Reports Earnings for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 - Investing News Network — Investing News Network neutral
- NEWS SQM Reports Impressive Q1 Revenue Growth - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS SQM Reports Earnings for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 - markets.businessinsider.com — markets.businessinsider.com neutral
- NEWS SQM Reports 165.2% Increase in Net Income for Q1 2026, Driven by Strong Lithium and SPN Sales - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (SQM) Is Up 6.4% After Q2 Profit Surge Has The Bull Case Changed? - simplywall.st — simplywall.st positive
Generated 2026-09-04T10:12:14Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $79.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-4.0% upside). Wait for pullback. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $82.81 (+4.8%), stop $74.20 (−6.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $82.81 (-4.0% upside). Target $82.81 (+4.8%), stop $74.20 (−6.5%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $74.20.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.
7 analysts cover SQM with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $85.
What does Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. do?Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in...
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in Chile, Latin America, the Caribbean, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It offers potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, specialty blends, and other specialty fertilizers under the Ultrasol, Qrop, Speedfol, Allganic, Ultrasoline, Prop, and Prohydric brands. The company also provides iodine and its derivatives for use in medical, agricultural, industrial, and human and animal nutrition products comprising x-ray contrast media, biocides, antiseptics and disinfectants, pharmaceutical intermediates, polarizing films for LCD and LED screens, chemicals, organic compounds, and pigments, as well as added to edible salt to prevent iodine deficiency disorders. In addition, it produces lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide which are used in the production of cathode material for, secondary batteries; lithium chloride; and basic lithium chemicals and lithium derivatives used in lubricating greases for heat-resistant glass, chips for the ceramic and glazing industry, and air conditioning chemicals, as well as other pharmaceutical syntheses and metal alloys. Further, the company produces potassium sulfate; and potassium chloride which are used to nourish various crops. Additionally, it produces and markets industrial chemicals, such as sodium nitrate mainly used in the production of glass and explosives, metal processing and recycling, and production of insulating materials and adhesives; potassium nitrate used as a raw material to produce frits and special ty glass, as well as in the enamel, metal treatment, and pyrotechnic sectors; solar salts used as a thermal storage medium in solar power generation plants; and potassium chloride as an additive in oil drilling and food processing sectors, as well as sells third-party fertilizers. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.