SQM has grown revenue 70% year-over-year and leads its specialty chemicals peer group on growth, with a Piotroski score of 9 out of 9 and free cash flow at 210% of net income, but has missed analyst earnings estimates in all 4 of the last reported quarters by an average of -20.5%, and recent negative news sentiment has triggered a downward thesis modifier.
Thesis pillars
- Peer Best Margins Specialist→Stable
- Exceptional Revenue Growth Leader→Stable
- High Quality Cash Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. (SQM) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. At $72.70, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 4.6%.
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in Chile, Latin America, the Caribbean, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It offers potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, specialty blends, and other... Read more
Sell if holding. At $72.70, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 4.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS SQM Reports Earnings for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 - Investing News Network — Investing News Network neutral
- NEWS SQM Reports Impressive Q1 Revenue Growth - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS SQM Reports Earnings for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 - markets.businessinsider.com — markets.businessinsider.com neutral
- NEWS SQM Reports 165.2% Increase in Net Income for Q1 2026, Driven by Strong Lithium and SPN Sales - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS SQM Reports Earnings for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 - The Manila Times — The Manila Times neutral
Generated 2026-07-06T04:31:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $72.70, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4); Thin upside margin: 4.6%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $67.61. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $76.05 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $67.61. Stop-loss: $67.61.
Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Consecutive earnings misses (4).
Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. trades at a P/E of 25.4 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover SQM with a consensus score of 2.0/5. Average price target: $84.
What does Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. do?Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in...
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and sells specialty plant nutrients, and iodine and its derivatives in Chile, Latin America, the Caribbean, Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It offers potassium nitrate, sodium nitrate, specialty blends, and other specialty fertilizers under the Ultrasol, Qrop, Speedfol, Allganic, Ultrasoline, Prop, and Prohydric brands. The company also provides iodine and its derivatives for use in medical, agricultural, industrial, and human and animal nutrition products comprising x-ray contrast media, biocides, antiseptics and disinfectants, pharmaceutical intermediates, polarizing films for LCD and LED screens, chemicals, organic compounds, and pigments, as well as added to edible salt to prevent iodine deficiency disorders. In addition, it produces lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide which are used in the production of cathode material for, secondary batteries; lithium chloride; and basic lithium chemicals and lithium derivatives used in lubricating greases for heat-resistant glass, chips for the ceramic and glazing industry, and air conditioning chemicals, as well as other pharmaceutical syntheses and metal alloys. Further, the company produces potassium sulfate; and potassium chloride which are used to nourish various crops. Additionally, it produces and markets industrial chemicals, such as sodium nitrate mainly used in the production of glass and explosives, metal processing and recycling, and production of insulating materials and adhesives; potassium nitrate used as a raw material to produce frits and special ty glass, as well as in the enamel, metal treatment, and pyrotechnic sectors; solar salts used as a thermal storage medium in solar power generation plants; and potassium chloride as an additive in oil drilling and food processing sectors, as well as sells third-party fertilizers. Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.