NewMarket Corp is a specialty chemicals business with exceptional profitability metrics — 25% return on equity and 15% operating margins — but its international and supplier concentration risks, coupled with declining revenue and near-zero price upside, limit the investment case at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Upside Exhaustion Put Call Warning↓Deteriorating
- Exceptional Profitability Metrics↓Deteriorating
- Geographic Supplier Concentration↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026· older than 90 days
NewMarket Corp (NEU) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $725.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source raw material suppliers.
NewMarket Corporation manufactures petroleum additives through Afton Chemical—sold to multinational oil companies worldwide—and specialty materials (ammonium perchlorate, hydrazine) through AMPAC and Calca for U.S. defense and space programs. Afton is one of the four largest... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $725.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source raw material suppliers. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 8, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — NewMarket Corp
Latest news
- NEWS NewMarket Corp Reports Q3 2026 Earnings of $13.50 Per Share and $716.5 Million in Revenue - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS NewMarket Q3 Earnings, Revenue Rise - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS NewMarket NEU Third-Quarter Net Income Rises to $124.1 Million - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS NewMarket Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026 - www.mark — www.marketscreener.com Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS NewMarket: Q3 Earnings Snapshot - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicinternational (outside United States)61%10-K Item 1A: 'sales to customers outside of the United States accounted for approximately 61% of consolidated net sales'
- HIGHSuppliersingle-source raw material suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'in some cases, we choose to source from a single supplier'
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government specialty materials10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to U.S. government contractors and subcontractors, as well as directly to the U.S. government, represent a significant portion of our specialty materials business'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $725.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source raw material suppliers. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 8, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Resistance target $896.07 (+23.6%), stop $692.02 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Resistance target: $896.07 (+23.6% upside). Resistance target $896.07 (+23.6%), stop $692.02 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $692.02.
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source raw material suppliers; Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.9x (earnings normalizing).
NewMarket Corp trades at a P/E of 14.7 (forward 28.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
8 analysts rate NEU, with a consensus score of 2.3/5.
What does NewMarket Corp do?NewMarket Corporation manufactures petroleum additives through Afton Chemical—sold to multinational oil companies...
NewMarket Corporation manufactures petroleum additives through Afton Chemical—sold to multinational oil companies worldwide—and specialty materials (ammonium perchlorate, hydrazine) through AMPAC and Calca for U.S. defense and space programs. Afton is one of the four largest petroleum additives suppliers globally; 61% of 2025 consolidated net sales came from outside the United States.