NewMarket Corp (NEU) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $698.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
NewMarket Corporation is a holding company whose primary subsidiary Afton Chemical manufactures and sells petroleum additives globally, while AMPAC and Calca supply specialty materials for aerospace and defense solid rocket motors. Revenue is driven by lubricant and fuel... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $698.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — NewMarket Corp
Latest news
- NewMarket Corp (NEU) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings: Revenue and EPS Down, Cash from Ops Up - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- Earnings Flash (NEU) NewMarket Corporation Reports Q1 Revenue $669.7M - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
- NewMarket: Q1 Earnings Snapshot - WKYC — WKYC neutral
- NEU (NewMarket Corp) shares dip 2.27% after releasing Q4 2025 quarterly earnings with no prior analyst estimates. - Veri — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La negative
- Robeco Institutional Asset Management B.V. Acquires 3,550 Shares of NewMarket Corporation $NEU - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicinternational (outside United States)61%10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, sales to customers outside of the United States accounted for approximately 61% of consolidated net sales.'
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. government specialty materials10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our specialty materials business is under contracts with contractors or subcontractors of the U.S. government or directly with the U.S. government.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOWBruce R. Hazelgrove III elected to the Board effective immediately; he currently serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer. Will serve on Executive Committee only; no additional compensation for board service.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-18Item 5.02LOWSusan M. Ridlehoover appointed as Principal Accounting Officer effective immediately. Previously served at Sonoco Products Company and Dominion Energy. Annual base salary of $235,000.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $698.75 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $659.55. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $696.28 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $659.55. Stop-loss: $659.55.
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside United States) (61.0%); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.
NewMarket Corp trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 27.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover NEU with a consensus score of 2.3/5.
What does NewMarket Corp do?NewMarket Corporation is a holding company whose primary subsidiary Afton Chemical manufactures and sells petroleum...
NewMarket Corporation is a holding company whose primary subsidiary Afton Chemical manufactures and sells petroleum additives globally, while AMPAC and Calca supply specialty materials for aerospace and defense solid rocket motors. Revenue is driven by lubricant and fuel additive sales to multinational oil companies and specialty materials contracts with U.S. government contractors. In 2025, approximately 61% of consolidated net sales came from customers outside the United States.