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SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.Hold5.4·$227.74-1.72%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SPX Technologies has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with average surprise of 9.1%, holds a wide economic moat and perfect Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, and is in a golden cross breakout pattern — but the stock has exceeded its analyst price target and the asymmetry is marginally negative, limiting the entry case for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Piotroski PerfectStable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • Hvac Us Concentration RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SPX Technologies, Inc. (SPXC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $227.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment.

SPX Technologies engineers and manufactures specialized products across two segments—HVAC solutions and detection and measurement equipment—serving industrial, institutional, commercial, and residential markets in 16 countries. The HVAC segment generated $1.52 billion in 2025... Read more

$227.74+3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.57%
Stop $211.80Target $236.35(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$271.67+19.3%12 analysts
$236.35our TP
$227.74price
$271.67mean
$310

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $227.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About SPX Technologies, Inc.

About SPX Technologies, Inc.

SPX Technologies generated $2.27 billion in combined 2025 segment revenues—HVAC at $1.52 billion and Detection and Measurement at $746.9 million—operating in 16 countries with approximately 4,700 employees. The HVAC backlog reached $584.5 million at December 31, 2025, with 83% expected to convert to revenue in 2026. Approximately 80% of revenues were generated inside the United States, and no single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues.

HVAC segment revenue comes from package and process cooling, engineered air handling, and hydronic and electrical heating products sold through direct sales, independent manufacturing representatives, distributors, and retailers under brands including Marley, Weil-McLain, Patterson-Kelley, Air Enterprises, and Ingénia. Detection and Measurement earns revenue from underground pipe and cable locators (Radiodetection, Pearpoint, Schonstedt), robotic inspection equipment (Cues, ULC Robotics), transportation systems (Genfare), and aids-to-navigation products (Sealite, Flash Technology, Avlite). International revenues grew from $343.1 million in 2024 to $452.5 million in 2025. Key raw material inputs include steel, aluminum, oil, and copper; SPX has generally been able to offset price increases through product pricing, though long-term supplier contracts may reduce this flexibility. Six domestic collective bargaining agreements cover approximately 480 employees.

Show full overview

SPX Technologies completed five acquisitions between January 2025 and February 2026, with Crawford United Corporation's Industrial and Transportation Products businesses—serving aerospace, defense, transportation, and marine markets—classified as non-core assets held for sale, targeting disposal within twelve months of the February 2026 close. The 10-K cautions that suitable buyers may not be identified on attractive terms, and any failure to divest could divert significant resources and dilute earnings. Manufacturing footprint expansions across the combined business face risk from permit delays, contractor disruptions, and cost inflation that could reduce returns on invested capital below anticipated levels.

See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

From SPX Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment
Thin upside margin: 3.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.5
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$11.4B
EV/EBITDA24.2
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE13.8%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States80%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 80% of our revenues were generated inside the United States'
  • HIGHProductHVAC segment
    10-K Item 1: 'Our HVAC reportable segment had revenues of $1,518.2'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $217.74Resistance $251.08

Price Targets

$212
$236
A.Upside+3.8%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPXC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $227.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $236.35 (+3.8%), stop $211.80 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPXC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $236.35 (+3.8% upside). Target $236.35 (+3.8%), stop $211.80 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $211.80.

What are the risks of investing in SPXC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment; Thin upside margin: 3.8%.

Is SPXC overvalued or undervalued?

SPX Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.5 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SPXC?

19 analysts cover SPXC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $272.

What does SPX Technologies, Inc. do?SPX Technologies engineers and manufactures specialized products across two segments—HVAC solutions and detection and...

SPX Technologies engineers and manufactures specialized products across two segments—HVAC solutions and detection and measurement equipment—serving industrial, institutional, commercial, and residential markets in 16 countries. The HVAC segment generated $1.52 billion in 2025 and Detection and Measurement $746.9 million, with no single customer exceeding 10% of consolidated revenues. The company employs approximately 4,700 people and has been actively expanding through acquisitions.

Related stocks: ARLO (Arlo Technologies, Inc.) · AWI (Armstrong World Industries Inc) · ROCK (Gibraltar Industries, Inc.) · MAIR (Madison Air Solutions Corporati) · MAS (Masco Corporation)
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