Skip to main content
SONOSonos, Inc.Sell4.9·$13.62+1.64%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sonos demonstrates exceptional cash generation with free cash flow representing 505% of net income and a perfect Piotroski financial strength score of 9 out of 9, but a put-to-call ratio of 8.0 and falling on-balance volume signal significant bearish market positioning that must reverse for the thesis to play out.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Analyst Upside GapStable
  • Extreme Bearish Options PositioningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sonos, Inc. (SONO) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Sonos makes wireless home audio speakers, soundbars, headphones, and system components trusted by approximately 17.1 million households across 60+ countries, with 53.4 million products registered as of September 27, 2025. Revenue comes primarily from hardware sold through... Read more

$13.62+19.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#3 of 4 Consumer Electronics
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.37%
Stop $12.69Target $16.26(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$19.13+40.4%4 analysts
$16.26our TP
$13.62price
$19.13mean
$21

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sonos, Inc.

About Sonos, Inc.

Sonos had 53.4 million products registered across 17.1 million households in more than 60 countries as of September 27, 2025—a 61% multi-product household rate that supports the compounding install-base model. In fiscal 2025, the company employed 1,404 full-time workers and posted a net loss of $61.1 million, reflecting restructuring charges from workforce reductions of approximately 12% in February 2025, following an earlier 6% reduction in August 2024.

Sonos earns revenue primarily from hardware sold through retailer brick-and-mortar stores, e-commerce, custom installers, and sonos.com across 60+ countries. Best Buy accounted for 14% of fiscal 2025 revenue. Manufacturing is fully outsourced to contract manufacturers in Vietnam, China, and Malaysia; the company was also exiting a contract manufacturer partnership during fiscal 2025 to consolidate supply chain efficiency. Open purchase orders to contract manufacturers for finished goods totaled approximately $173 million as of September 27, 2025, and expected supplier commitments for components ranged from $131 million to $149 million. Sonos competes against Bose, Samsung (including Harman International, Denon, Polk Audio, and JBL), Sony, Apple, Google, and Amazon—many of which subsidize speaker hardware and monetize customers through services. The company also earns supplemental revenue from licensing agreements, advertising, and subscription-based services bundled with partner products and architectural speaker partnerships.

Show full overview

The May 2024 launch of an extensively redesigned Sonos app triggered documented customer backlash: the 10-K discloses that performance issues led to increased complaints, decreased sales of existing products, delayed introduction of two new products for a quarter, and reputational harm that the company believes it has substantially addressed through software updates. Google—which provides Google Assistant technology for Sonos voice-enabled speakers—simultaneously filed multiple patent infringement counterclaims domestically and before the ITC following Sonos's own 2020 complaint, making Google both a named technology partner and an active litigation counterparty with the contractual ability to disable its technology in Sonos products.

See also: Technology · Consumer Electronics

From Sonos, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Sonos, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)80.1
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth8.4%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV80%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBest Buy14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Best Buy, one of our key channel partners, accounted for 14% of our revenue in fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    Frank Barbieri appointed Chief Operating Officer and principal operating officer effective May 4, 2026. Previously held various roles at Walmart Inc. from April 2019 to April 2026. No departure of incumbent COO cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
1.3
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
5.2
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.08Resistance $16.38

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+19.4%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SONO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.69. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SONO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.26 (+19.4% upside). Prior stop was $12.69. Stop-loss: $12.69.

What are the risks of investing in SONO?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Negative momentum.

Is SONO overvalued or undervalued?

Sonos, Inc. trades at a P/E of 80.1 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SONO?

10 analysts cover SONO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Sonos, Inc. do?Sonos makes wireless home audio speakers, soundbars, headphones, and system components trusted by approximately 17.1...

Sonos makes wireless home audio speakers, soundbars, headphones, and system components trusted by approximately 17.1 million households across 60+ countries, with 53.4 million products registered as of September 27, 2025. Revenue comes primarily from hardware sold through retailers, custom installers, and direct channels, supplemented by partner, licensing, and subscription fees; existing customers drove about 45% of new product registrations in fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: LPL (LG Display Co, Ltd AMERICAN DEP) · YB (Yuanbao Inc.) · PICS (PicS N.V.) · YMM (Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.) · PTC (PTC Inc.)
Home Stocks SONO

Latest news

Latest News

Barchart.com68d ago
StockStory64d agoEarnings
FinancialContent64d agoEarnings
MarketBeat65d ago
MarketBeat70d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance UK62d ago
MarketBeat62d ago
StockStory62d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com62d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance66d agoEarnings
Benzinga11d agoRestructuring
Benzinga13d agoProduct
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d agoEarnings
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga62d ago
Benzinga63d agoEarnings