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Sonos, Inc. (SONO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $14.73, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Sonos designs and sells premium wireless audio systems (home theater speakers, portable speakers, headphones) used by 17.1 million households in 60+ countries, with 53.4 million products registered as of September 2025. Revenue is hardware-driven via a mix of direct e-commerce... Read more

$14.73+10.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#2 of 4 Consumer Electronics
Stop $13.69Target $16.26(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$19.13+29.8%4 analysts
$16.26our TP
$14.73price
$19.13mean
$21

Sell if holding. At $14.73, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn-1.2%
ROE-3.9%
Rev Growth-0.9%
Beta2.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$5-66.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBest Buy14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Best Buy, one of our key channel partners, accounted for 14% of our revenue in fiscal 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
2.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 6 days

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.8
Bollinger
2.4
52w Position
4.9
Gap
6.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
2.6
Ma Position
7.2
Macd
8.5
Overbought bear rally (RSI 76)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 2.65%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.73Resistance $15.15

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+10.4%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Insider activity: 2.65%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SONO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $14.73, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $13.69. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SONO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.26 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $13.69. Stop-loss: $13.69.

What are the risks of investing in SONO?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is SONO overvalued or undervalued?

Sonos, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SONO?

10 analysts cover SONO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Sonos, Inc. do?Sonos designs and sells premium wireless audio systems (home theater speakers, portable speakers, headphones) used by...

Sonos designs and sells premium wireless audio systems (home theater speakers, portable speakers, headphones) used by 17.1 million households in 60+ countries, with 53.4 million products registered as of September 2025. Revenue is hardware-driven via a mix of direct e-commerce and retail channel partners; existing customers drove ~45% of new product registrations in fiscal 2025.

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