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SNYSanofiBuy Wait5.2·$44.10+1.74%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sanofi is a large pharmaceutical company with strong 16% operating margins, 221% free cash flow conversion, and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but faces a confirmed death cross with falling on-balance volume and a dividend payout ratio of 552% that appears structurally unsustainable.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings BeatsStable
  • Death Cross Confirmed DowntrendDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sanofi (SNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitValueModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $42.54. At $44.10 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $42.54 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.6%.

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib)... Read more

$44.10+8.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#15 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield16.07%
IncomeYield5.58%(5y avg 4.01%)Payout97.73%at-risk
Entry $42.54(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $40.93Target $47.90(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$55.06+24.8%9 analysts
$47.90our TP
$44.10price
$55.06mean
$63

Wait for pullback to $42.54. At $44.10 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $42.54 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$103.8B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta0.28
Dividend5.58%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV36%normal
Max Pain$30-32.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.0

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
6.5
Macd
7.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $41.27Resistance $44.85

Price Targets

$41
$43
$48
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNY stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $42.54. At $44.10 the A.R:R is 1.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $42.54 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 8.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $47.90 (+8.6%), stop $40.93 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.90 (+8.6% upside). Target $47.90 (+8.6%), stop $40.93 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $40.93.

What are the risks of investing in SNY?

Thin upside margin: 8.6%.

Is SNY overvalued or undervalued?

Sanofi trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SNY?

29 analysts cover SNY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Sanofi do?Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides...

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) pediatric vaccines; respiratory syncytial virus protection and hexavalent combination vaccines that includes hepatitis A, typhoid, yellow fever, and rabies vaccines. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Exscientia to develop up to 15 novel small-molecule for oncology and immunology; ABL Bio, Inc. to develop ABL301 for treatment of alpha-synucleinopathies; and Innate Pharma SA for cell engager program targeting B7-H3. Further, it has a collaboration agreements with Atomwise to use ATOMNET platform and Insilico Medicine to use Pharma.AI, a medicine's AI platform; Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize protein degrader therapies targeting IRAK4 in patients with immune-inflammatory diseases; Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. to develop protein degradation therapies; Denali Therapeutics Inc. to treat systemic inflammatory diseases, such as ulcerative colitis; and Adagene Inc. for development of antibody-based therapies. Additionally, it has a collaboration with Scribe Therapeutics Inc. to develop genome editing technologies; Teva Pharmaceuticals to co-develop and co-commercialize TEV'574, for treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; and co-promotion service agreement with Provention Bio, Inc. for the commercialization of teplizumab. The company was formerly known as Sanofi-Aventis and changed its name to Sanofi in May 2011. Sanofi was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Related stocks: NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · BIIB (Biogen Inc.) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC)
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