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SNYSanofiSell5.4·$43.15-0.02%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sanofi is a large pharmaceutical company with strong 16% operating margins, 221% free cash flow conversion, and 3 of 4 recent earnings beats, but faces a confirmed death cross with falling on-balance volume and a dividend payout ratio of 552% that appears structurally unsustainable.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings BeatsStable
  • Death Cross Confirmed DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sanofi (SNY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib)... Read more

$43.15+13.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#11 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield16.14%
IncomeYield5.60%(5y avg 4.01%)Payout97.73%at-risk
Stop $40.55Target $48.48(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$55.72+29.1%9 analysts
$48.48our TP
$43.15price
$55.72mean
$63

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$103.3B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta0.28
Dividend5.60%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$30-30.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.89Resistance $45.24

Price Targets

$41
$48
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $40.55. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.48 (+13.8% upside). Prior stop was $40.55. Stop-loss: $40.55.

What are the risks of investing in SNY?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SNY overvalued or undervalued?

Sanofi trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNY?

29 analysts cover SNY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $56.

What does Sanofi do?Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides...

Sanofi engages in the research, development, manufacture, and marketing of therapeutic solutions. It provides immunology and inflammation, rare diseases neurology, oncology, and other vaccines. It also offers poliomyelitis, pertussis, and haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) pediatric vaccines; respiratory syncytial virus protection and hexavalent combination vaccines that includes hepatitis A, typhoid, yellow fever, and rabies vaccines. It has a collaboration and license agreement with Exscientia to develop up to 15 novel small-molecule for oncology and immunology; ABL Bio, Inc. to develop ABL301 for treatment of alpha-synucleinopathies; and Innate Pharma SA for cell engager program targeting B7-H3. Further, it has a collaboration agreements with Atomwise to use ATOMNET platform and Insilico Medicine to use Pharma.AI, a medicine's AI platform; Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize protein degrader therapies targeting IRAK4 in patients with immune-inflammatory diseases; Nurix Therapeutics, Inc. to develop protein degradation therapies; Denali Therapeutics Inc. to treat systemic inflammatory diseases, such as ulcerative colitis; and Adagene Inc. for development of antibody-based therapies. Additionally, it has a collaboration with Scribe Therapeutics Inc. to develop genome editing technologies; Teva Pharmaceuticals to co-develop and co-commercialize TEV'574, for treatment of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease; and co-promotion service agreement with Provention Bio, Inc. for the commercialization of teplizumab. The company was formerly known as Sanofi-Aventis and changed its name to Sanofi in May 2011. Sanofi was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Related stocks: NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · BIIB (Biogen Inc.) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC)
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