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SNXTD SYNNEX CorporationSell6.0·$244.64-6.39%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TD SYNNEX has a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with earnings in 9 days, strong positive momentum with RSI at 79, and positive LLM news sentiment of +0.58 across 10 recent articles, but trades well above analyst targets with negative asymmetry and below-floor business quality from thin distribution margins.

Thesis pillars

  • Excellent Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Perfect Beat Streak Imminent CatalystStable
  • Strong Momentum At 52w HighStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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TD SYNNEX Corporation (SNX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $244.64: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.81; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

TD SYNNEX is a Fortune 100 global IT distributor, selling hardware, software, and systems from ~2,500 OEM suppliers to 150,000+ resellers across Americas, Europe, and APJ segments. The company earns thin distribution margins plus logistics, cloud, and integration services; Apple... Read more

$244.64+17.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 7 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.50%
IncomeYield0.78%(5y avg 1.15%)Payout13.19%sustainable
Stop $235.94Target $286.94(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$329.82+34.8%11 analysts
$286.94our TP
$244.64price
$329.82mean
$374

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $244.64: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.81; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About TD SYNNEX Corporation

About TD SYNNEX Corporation

Apple Inc. products represented 12% of TD SYNNEX's total revenue in fiscal year 2025, and HP Inc. products represented 10%, with one undisclosed customer accounting for 11% — concentrations that define the distributor's OEM and customer dependence profile. TD SYNNEX sold to more than 150,000 reseller customers globally across Americas, Europe, and APJ segments, with approximately 48% of consolidated FY2025 revenue from international operations and 24,000 full-time co-workers at November 30, 2025.

TD SYNNEX earns thin gross margins on product resale, supplemented by higher-margin services including systems design and integration (the Hyve business serving hyperscale customers), logistics, cloud, depot repair, and customer management. Revenue from Apple and HP Inc. each exceeded 10% of total in fiscal year 2025, making both relationships material under the company's own disclosed metrics. The company buys from approximately 2,500 OEMs under short-term distribution agreements that may be terminated without cause on short notice, giving suppliers the ability to change pricing, rebates, and geographic scope. Key competitors in IT distribution include Ingram Micro Holding Corporation, Arrow Electronics, and Westcon-Comstor; in the hyperscale infrastructure segment, competition comes from Jabil Inc., Celestica, Flex Ltd., Quanta Computer, and Wiwynn Corporation.

Show full overview

TD SYNNEX's design and integration solutions business — serving hyperscale computing infrastructure customers — carries particularly concentrated customer exposure. The 10-K notes that the systems design and integration product line has significant customer concentration, often requires investments in working capital and infrastructure, and may have customer contracts offering limited or no volume guarantees. The loss of a single customer from this segment could adversely affect revenue, inventory provisions, and overhead absorption — risks that sit alongside the Apple Inc. and HP Inc. supply-side concentrations, where each individual OEM supplier agreement is typically short-term and terminable without cause.

See also: Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

From TD SYNNEX Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — TD SYNNEX Corporation

Generated 2026-07-06T06:00:35Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 24, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$19.6B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth31.0%
Beta1.44
Dividend0.78%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.81bearish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWSupplierApple Inc.12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales of Apple Inc. products and services comprised approximately 12%, 12%, and 11% of our total revenue for fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'
  • LOWSupplierHP Inc.10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales from HP, Inc. comprised approximately 10% of our total revenue for fiscal year 2025'
  • LOWCustomerone customer11%
    10-K Item 1: 'One customer accounted for 11%, 12% and 11% of our total revenue in fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations48%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 48% of our consolidated revenue for fiscal year 2025 was generated by our international operations'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    TD SYNNEX updated offer letter with Dennis Polk as Chair, Hyve Solutions Holdings, effective December 1, 2025. Polk continues in the role; compensatory terms updated. No departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.8
Operating Margin
1.1
Fcf Quality
2.1
Roa
2.2
Roe
4.4
Current Ratio
4.6
Moat
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 26% FCF/NI

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.3
Quality Rank
4.3
Value Rank
6.4
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $243.24Resistance $296.47

Price Targets

$236
$287
A.Upside+17.3%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-24 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $244.64: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 1.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.81; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $235.94. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $286.94 (+17.3% upside). Prior stop was $235.94. Stop-loss: $235.94.

What are the risks of investing in SNX?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is SNX overvalued or undervalued?

TD SYNNEX Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNX?

17 analysts cover SNX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $330.

What does TD SYNNEX Corporation do?TD SYNNEX is a Fortune 100 global IT distributor, selling hardware, software, and systems from ~2,500 OEM suppliers to...

TD SYNNEX is a Fortune 100 global IT distributor, selling hardware, software, and systems from ~2,500 OEM suppliers to 150,000+ resellers across Americas, Europe, and APJ segments. The company earns thin distribution margins plus logistics, cloud, and integration services; Apple represented 12% and HP Inc. 10% of FY2025 revenue. About 48% of consolidated revenue came from international operations.

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