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PC Connection, Inc. (CNXN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.83: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.83; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

PC Connection, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various information technology (IT) solutions worldwide. It operates in three segments: Connection Enterprise Solutions, Connection Business Solutions, and Connection Public Sector Solutions. The company offers IT... Read more

$62.83+1.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#5 of 5 Electronics & Computer Distribution
Stop $60.52Target $64.60(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$76.00+21.0%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.83: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.83; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn2.9%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.84
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.83bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$45-28.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Earnings Growth
2.8
Declining revenue: -1%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.8
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
6.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
1.5
Net Margin
1.5
Roe
3.1
Roa
3.3
Fcf Quality
3.7
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 47% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $58.55Resistance $66.39

Price Targets

$61
$65
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNXN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.83: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.83; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $60.52. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNXN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.60 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $60.52. Stop-loss: $60.52.

What are the risks of investing in CNXN?

Target reached (1.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is CNXN overvalued or undervalued?

PC Connection, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNXN?

6 analysts cover CNXN with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $76.

What does PC Connection, Inc. do?PC Connection, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various information technology (IT) solutions worldwide....

PC Connection, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides various information technology (IT) solutions worldwide. It operates in three segments: Connection Enterprise Solutions, Connection Business Solutions, and Connection Public Sector Solutions. The company offers IT solutions, including computer systems, data center solutions, and artificial intelligence; a portfolio of managed services and professional services; services related to the design, configuration, and implementation of IT solutions; and cybersecurity, digital workspace, modern infrastructure, multicloud, and supply chain and lifecycle solutions and services. It also distributes accessories, cable and adapters, computer parts, computers, conferencing and AV products, electronics, media and supplies, monitors and projectors, networking products, office equipment, power products, printers and supplies, servers and accessories, software, and storage products; hardware, including devices and peripherals; notebooks/mobility products, desktops, communication products, displays, and sound products; and cloud solutions. The company markets its products and services through its websites. It serves large enterprise customers; small to medium-sized businesses, including small office/home office customers; healthcare, manufacturing, and retail industries; federal, state, and local government; educational institutions, including K-12 and higher education; medium-to-large corporations through outbound inside and field sales, digital and web advertising, and targeted marketing programs to specific market segments. PC Connection, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Merrimack, New Hampshire.

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