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AVTAvnet, Inc.Sell5.9·$88.73
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Avnet is an industry growth leader with 48% YoY revenue growth, a 4-quarter beat streak and a forward P/E of 7.1x. Low business quality (2.8/10), negative free-cash-flow conversion and a price only 2.4% below the analyst target make the reward-to-risk of 0.27 thin.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Growth Leader→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Weak Earnings Quality Cash Burn→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Aug 14, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Avnet, Inc. (AVT) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.73: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality.

Avnet, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively, the "Company" or "Avnet"), is a leading global electronic component technology distributor and solutions provider that has served customers' evolving needs for more than a century. Founded in 1921, the Company works... Read more

$88.73+1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 7 Electronics & Computer Distribution
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.77%
IncomeYield1.67%(5y avg 2.29%)Payout34.91%sustainable
Stop $82.52Analyst target $90.31(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$106.25+19.7%4 analysts with price targets
$90.31Analyst target
$88.73price
$106.25mean
$80
$120

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.73: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Avnet, Inc.

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth47.7%
Beta1.12
Dividend1.67%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.6
Operating Margin
1.5
Roe
2.2
Roa
2.6
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -39% FCF/NIQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.7
Growth Rank
8.6
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $85.07Resistance $106.15

Price Targets

$83
$90
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.73: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $82.52. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVT stock price target?

Analyst target: $90.31 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $82.52. Stop-loss: $82.52.

What are the risks of investing in AVT?

Target reached (1.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is AVT overvalued or undervalued?

Avnet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVT?

9 analysts rate AVT, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $106.

What does Avnet, Inc. do?Avnet, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively, the "Company" or "Avnet"), is a leading global electronic...

Avnet, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively, the "Company" or "Avnet"), is a leading global electronic component technology distributor and solutions provider that has served customers' evolving needs for more than a century. Founded in 1921, the Company works with electronic component manufacturers (suppliers) in every major electronic component segment to serve customers in more than 140 countries.

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