StoneX Group has delivered 3 consecutive earnings beats with an average surprise of 18.3% and 24% revenue growth, but the stock trades at or above analyst targets with negative asymmetry, elevated put/call ratio of 2.11, and below-floor business quality in the capital markets sector.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth 24pct↓Deteriorating
- Strong Earnings Beat Pattern↑Improving
- Price At Resistance Negative Asymmetry↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Capital Markets
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.00: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
StoneX Group operates a global financial services network through four segments—Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments—serving 80,000+ commercial and institutional clients and 400,000+ retail accounts in over 180 countries. Revenue comes from transaction... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.00: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 101d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — StoneX Group Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning StoneX Group Stock In The Last 5 Years — benzinga Aug 12, 2026 positive
- NEWS What's Going on With StoneX Shares on Tuesday? — benzinga Aug 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS StoneX Group Q3 EPS $1.00 Beats $0.82 Estimate, Sales $1.468B Beat $661.789M Estimate — benzinga Aug 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Reported Earlier, StoneX Payments Partners With South Korea's Shinhan Bank To Deliver Institutional Cross-Border Payment — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 positive
- NEWS This Charles Schwab Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Monday — benzinga Jul 20, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T07:48:14Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $66.00: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $62.40. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $77.75 (-5.0% upside). Prior stop was $62.40. Stop-loss: $62.40.
Target reached (-5.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).
StoneX Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover SNEX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $75.
What does StoneX Group Inc. do?StoneX Group operates a global financial services network through four segments—Commercial, Institutional,...
StoneX Group operates a global financial services network through four segments—Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments—serving 80,000+ commercial and institutional clients and 400,000+ retail accounts in over 180 countries. Revenue comes from transaction commissions, bid/offer spreads, client balance interest, and advisory fees. Its two U.S. FCMs held $13.7 billion combined in client segregated and foreign secured assets, making StoneX the largest non-bank FCM in the U.S.