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SNEXStoneX Group Inc.Sell5.8·$56.83
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

StoneX Group has delivered 3 consecutive earnings beats with an average surprise of 18.3% and 24% revenue growth, but the stock trades at or above analyst targets with negative asymmetry, elevated put/call ratio of 2.11, and below-floor business quality in the capital markets sector.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth 24pct→Stable
  • Strong Earnings Beat Pattern↓Deteriorating
  • Price At Resistance Negative Asymmetry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 28, 2025· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.83: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

StoneX Group operates a global financial services network through four segments—Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments—serving 80,000+ commercial and institutional clients and 400,000+ retail accounts in over 180 countries. Revenue comes from transaction... Read more

$56.83-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#28 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $52.85Analyst target $56.10(reached)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst consensus$66.00+16.1%1 analysts with price targets
Range unavailable (1 analysts with price targets)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.83: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — StoneX Group Inc.

Latest news

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 23, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.8
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn0.3%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth15.2%
Beta0.63
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$50-12.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.2
Net Margin
0.2
Roa
0.8
Current Ratio
4.2
Moat
6.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Roe
7.3
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.51%=HEAVYMomentum 5.5>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.26Resistance $61.35

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-23 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.83: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $52.85. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNEX stock price target?

Analyst target $56.10 reached (−1.3% from $56.83); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $52.85. Stop-loss: $52.85.

What are the risks of investing in SNEX?

Target reached (-1.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is SNEX overvalued or undervalued?

StoneX Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.8 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNEX?

8 analysts rate SNEX, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $66.

What does StoneX Group Inc. do?StoneX Group operates a global financial services network through four segments—Commercial, Institutional,...

StoneX Group operates a global financial services network through four segments—Commercial, Institutional, Self-Directed/Retail, and Payments—serving 80,000+ commercial and institutional clients and 400,000+ retail accounts in over 180 countries. Revenue comes from transaction commissions, bid/offer spreads, client balance interest, and advisory fees. Its two U.S. FCMs held $13.7 billion combined in client segregated and foreign secured assets, making StoneX the largest non-bank FCM in the U.S.

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