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SNDXSyndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Sell4.7·$20.70-2.40%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Syndax Pharmaceuticals is a cash-burning biotechnology company with analyst consensus implying 111% upside, heavy concentration in two commercial-stage drugs (Revuforj and Niktimvo), and 19% short interest — a high-asymmetry speculative position where the bull and bear cases are both extreme.

Thesis pillars

  • Revuforj Niktimvo Commercial ConcentrationImproving
  • Analyst Target 111pct UpsideDeteriorating
  • Cash Burn Below Quality FloorStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SNDX) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Syndax Pharmaceuticals has two FDA-approved cancer therapies: Revuforj (revumenib), approved for relapsed/refractory acute leukemia in November 2024 and for R/R NPM1-mutated AML in October 2025, and Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), approved for chronic graft-versus-host disease in... Read more

$20.70+64.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#206 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-10.09%
Stop $19.35Target $34.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.4:1
Analyst target$39.45+90.6%11 analysts
$34.33our TP
$20.70price
$39.45mean
$57

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Syndax Pharmaceuticals launched two FDA-approved cancer therapies within a twelve-month window: Revuforj (revumenib), a menin inhibitor approved in November 2024 for relapsed/refractory KMT2A-rearranged acute leukemia and again in October 2025 for R/R NPM1-mutated AML, and Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), a CSF-1R antibody approved in August 2024 for chronic graft-versus-host disease after at least two prior systemic therapy lines. Both products entered commercial sale—Revuforj in November 2024 and Niktimvo in late January 2025—with revenue driven by U.S. prescription sales and Incyte collaboration income.

Syndax earns revenue through direct product sales of Revuforj, which the company commercializes independently in the U.S., and through co-commercialization of Niktimvo with Incyte in the U.S., under which profits and losses are split equally. Incyte holds exclusive ex-U.S. commercialization rights for axatilimab subject to royalty and milestone payments, and may terminate the agreement with 90 or 180 days' notice depending on whether Niktimvo has been commercialized in the applicable territory. Manufacturing is fully outsourced: Syndax relies on third-party contract manufacturers and Incyte for all raw materials, active pharmaceutical ingredients, and finished product for both commercial supply and clinical programs. In the R/R AML market, Revuforj competes with Komzifti (ziftomenib), FDA-approved for adult R/R NPM1-mutated AML in November 2025, while Niktimvo faces competition from Imbruvica (ibrutinib), Rezurock (belomosidil), and Jakafi (ruxolitinib) in the cGVHD space.

Show full overview

Syndax's near-term pipeline carries two pivotal Phase 3 binary readouts for revumenib: EVOLVE-2 (revumenib plus venetoclax and azacitidine in newly diagnosed NPM1-mutated and KMT2A-rearranged AML, initiated Q1 2025, topline timing not yet disclosed) and REVEAL-ND (revumenib plus intensive chemotherapy in newly diagnosed NPM1-mutated AML, initiated November 2025). A third high-value readout—MAXPIRe, a Phase 2 trial of axatilimab in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis—completed enrollment in Q1 2026, with topline data expected in Q4 2026. If EVOLVE-2 or REVEAL-ND fail to meet their primary endpoints, the company's path to profitability could be substantially delayed.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Revuforj and Niktimvo
Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party contract manufacturers
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-57.2
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-8.2
Profit Mgn-112.0%
ROE-189.5%
Rev Growth223.6%
Beta0.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductRevuforj and Niktimvo
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business depends heavily on our ability to successfully commercialize Revuforj and Niktimvo in the United States'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIncyte
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent upon our collaboration with Incyte to further develop and commercialize axatilimab'
  • HIGHSupplierthird-party contract manufacturers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently rely...on third-party contract manufacturers as well as Incyte for all of our required raw materials, active pharmaceutical ingredients and finished product'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
7.5
Cash-burning: FCF -86% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Volatile — 6.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.1
Days To Cover
1.3
Put Call
5.5
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 24%High IV: 82%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.3
Growth Rank
9.5
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 5.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.92Resistance $25.24

Price Targets

$19
$34
A.Upside+64.9%
A.R:R5.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNDX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.70: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $19.35. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNDX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.33 (+64.9% upside). Prior stop was $19.35. Stop-loss: $19.35.

What are the risks of investing in SNDX?

Concentration risk — Product: Revuforj and Niktimvo; Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party contract manufacturers; Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is SNDX overvalued or undervalued?

Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -57.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNDX?

20 analysts cover SNDX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Syndax Pharmaceuticals has two FDA-approved cancer therapies: Revuforj (revumenib), approved for relapsed/refractory...

Syndax Pharmaceuticals has two FDA-approved cancer therapies: Revuforj (revumenib), approved for relapsed/refractory acute leukemia in November 2024 and for R/R NPM1-mutated AML in October 2025, and Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), approved for chronic graft-versus-host disease in August 2024. Revenue comes from U.S. product sales of Revuforj and co-commercialization of Niktimvo with collaboration partner Incyte.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · ABUS (Arbutus Biopharma Corporation) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I)
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