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SNDXSyndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Sell6.0·$10.45
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Syndax Pharmaceuticals is a cash-burning biotechnology company with analyst consensus implying 111% upside, heavy concentration in two commercial-stage drugs (Revuforj and Niktimvo), and 19% short interest — a high-asymmetry speculative position where the bull and bear cases are both extreme.

Thesis pillars

  • Revuforj Niktimvo Commercial Concentration↑Improving
  • Analyst Target 111pct Upside↑Improving
  • Cash Burn Below Quality Floor↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SNDX) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.45: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality.

Syndax Pharmaceuticals has two FDA-approved cancer therapies: Revuforj (revumenib), approved for relapsed/refractory acute leukemia in November 2024 and for R/R NPM1-mutated AML in October 2025, and Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), approved for chronic graft-versus-host disease in... Read more

$10.45+63.3% Upside to targetScore 6.0/10#42 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-12.01%
Stop $9.72Resistance target $17.07A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$37.27+256.7%11 analysts with price targets
$17.07Resistance target
$10.45price
$37.27mean
$57

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.45: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Syndax Pharmaceuticals launched two FDA-approved cancer therapies within a twelve-month window: Revuforj (revumenib), a menin inhibitor approved in November 2024 for relapsed/refractory KMT2A-rearranged acute leukemia and again in October 2025 for R/R NPM1-mutated AML, and Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), a CSF-1R antibody approved in August 2024 for chronic graft-versus-host disease after at least two prior systemic therapy lines. Both products entered commercial sale—Revuforj in November 2024 and Niktimvo in late January 2025—with revenue driven by U.S. prescription sales and Incyte collaboration income.

Syndax earns revenue through direct product sales of Revuforj, which the company commercializes independently in the U.S., and through co-commercialization of Niktimvo with Incyte in the U.S., under which profits and losses are split equally. Incyte holds exclusive ex-U.S. commercialization rights for axatilimab subject to royalty and milestone payments, and may terminate the agreement with 90 or 180 days' notice depending on whether Niktimvo has been commercialized in the applicable territory. Manufacturing is fully outsourced: Syndax relies on third-party contract manufacturers and Incyte for all raw materials, active pharmaceutical ingredients, and finished product for both commercial supply and clinical programs. In the R/R AML market, Revuforj competes with Komzifti (ziftomenib), FDA-approved for adult R/R NPM1-mutated AML in November 2025, while Niktimvo faces competition from Imbruvica (ibrutinib), Rezurock (belomosidil), and Jakafi (ruxolitinib) in the cGVHD space.

Show full overview

Syndax's near-term pipeline carries two pivotal Phase 3 binary readouts for revumenib: EVOLVE-2 (revumenib plus venetoclax and azacitidine in newly diagnosed NPM1-mutated and KMT2A-rearranged AML, initiated Q1 2025, topline timing not yet disclosed) and REVEAL-ND (revumenib plus intensive chemotherapy in newly diagnosed NPM1-mutated AML, initiated November 2025). A third high-value readout—MAXPIRe, a Phase 2 trial of axatilimab in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis—completed enrollment in Q1 2026, with topline data expected in Q4 2026. If EVOLVE-2 or REVEAL-ND fail to meet their primary endpoints, the company's path to profitability could be substantially delayed.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027112d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Revuforj and Niktimvo
Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party contract manufacturers
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.27 vs price $10.45 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-14.4
Mkt Cap$941M
EV/EBITDA-6.1
Profit Mgn-72.3%
ROE-426.4%
Rev Growth81.6%
Beta0.45
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV81%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductRevuforj and Niktimvo
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business depends heavily on our ability to successfully commercialize Revuforj and Niktimvo in the United States'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyIncyte
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent upon our collaboration with Incyte to further develop and commercialize axatilimab'
  • HIGHSupplierthird-party contract manufacturers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently rely...on third-party contract manufacturers as well as Incyte for all of our required raw materials, active pharmaceutical ingredients and finished product'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 9.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.5
Days To Cover
2.2
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 20%Elevated put/call: 4.00High IV: 81%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
8.3
Cash-burning: FCF -39% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.7
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (4.0x avg) on selloff

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.99Resistance $17.42

Price Targets

$10
$17
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.27 vs price $10.45 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNDX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.45: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $9.72. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNDX stock price target?

Resistance target: $17.07 (+63.3% upside). Prior stop was $9.72. Stop-loss: $9.72.

What are the risks of investing in SNDX?

Concentration risk — Product: Revuforj and Niktimvo; Concentration risk — Supplier: third-party contract manufacturers; DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $37.27 vs price $10.45 — ratio 3.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP..

Is SNDX overvalued or undervalued?

Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -14.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNDX?

18 analysts rate SNDX, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $37.

What does Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Syndax Pharmaceuticals has two FDA-approved cancer therapies: Revuforj (revumenib), approved for relapsed/refractory...

Syndax Pharmaceuticals has two FDA-approved cancer therapies: Revuforj (revumenib), approved for relapsed/refractory acute leukemia in November 2024 and for R/R NPM1-mutated AML in October 2025, and Niktimvo (axatilimab-csfr), approved for chronic graft-versus-host disease in August 2024. Revenue comes from U.S. product sales of Revuforj and co-commercialization of Niktimvo with collaboration partner Incyte.

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