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SNASnap-On IncorporatedSell5.3·$412.09+2.18%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Snap-on is a high-quality industrial tools business with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, wide economic moat, and 20% operating margins, but the stock has surpassed analyst price targets with negative asymmetry, making the business quality case attractive while the current price offers no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Piotroski Score Wide MoatStable
  • Earnings Consistency Three Of Four BeatsStable
  • Golden Cross Breakout MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Snap-On Incorporated (SNA) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $412.09 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States.

Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries through four segments: Commercial & Industrial, Snap-on Tools, Repair Systems & Information, and Financial Services. The company generated $4.743 billion in... Read more

$412.09-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.91%
IncomeYield2.37%(5y avg 2.46%)Payout47.29%sustainable
Stop $395.09Target $404.07(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$393.17-4.6%9 analysts
$404.07our TP
$412.09price
$393.17mean
$330
$445

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $412.09 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.3
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$21.3B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn19.6%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth5.2%
Beta0.72
Dividend2.37%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.30bearish
IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductSnap-on Tools Group38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 38% of our consolidated net revenues (net sales plus financial services revenue) in 2025 were generated by the Snap-on Tools Group'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1: 'Snap-on’s largest geographic market is the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.8
Revenue Growth
3.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $377.23Resistance $412.32

Price Targets

$395
$404
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $412.09 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $395.09. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $404.07 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $395.09. Stop-loss: $395.09.

What are the risks of investing in SNA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Is SNA overvalued or undervalued?

Snap-On Incorporated trades at a P/E of 21.3 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNA?

16 analysts cover SNA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $393.

What does Snap-On Incorporated do?Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries...

Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries through four segments: Commercial & Industrial, Snap-on Tools, Repair Systems & Information, and Financial Services. The company generated $4.743 billion in net sales in 2025, distributed through approximately 4,700 franchise van routes globally alongside direct sales, distributors, and digital channels.

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