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SHCSotera Health CompanyBuy Wait6.3·$16.04-1.17%
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Sotera Health Company (SHC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Wait for pullback to $15.06. At $16.04 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.06 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: EO single supplier; Thin upside margin: 9.1%.

Sotera Health provides outsourced sterilization (Sterigenics, Nordion) and lab testing (Nelson Labs) to medical device and pharmaceutical companies across 62 global facilities in 13 countries. Services are mandatory for regulatory compliance; customers in 2025 included over 40... Read more

$16.04+11.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 26 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.17%
Entry $15.06(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $14.09Target $17.50(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$20.11+25.4%9 analysts
$17.50our TP
$16.04price
$20.11mean
$24

Wait for pullback to $15.06. At $16.04 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.06 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: EO single supplier; Thin upside margin: 9.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=healthcare 1/10). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Sotera Health Company

About Sotera Health Company

Sotera Health operates 62 sterilization and lab testing facilities across 13 countries, serving over 2,000 Sterigenics customers and approximately 3,000 Nelson Labs customers. More than 90% of Sterigenics revenues and approximately 90% of Nordion revenues in 2025 were from multi-year contracts, with Sterigenics achieving 100% renewal rates with its top 10 customers for more than five consecutive years. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of total revenues across either Sterigenics or Nelson Labs.

Sotera Health earns per-service fees through three business units. Sterigenics provides gamma irradiation (23 facilities), EO processing (17 facilities), and E-beam irradiation (8 facilities) services to medical device, pharmaceutical, food, and advanced applications customers. Nordion sells Co-60 radioactive isotope and gamma irradiation systems; Co-60 is sourced from contracts with three nuclear reactor operators covering 13 reactors at five Canadian and Russian generating stations, extending to dates between 2026 and 2064. Russian reactors contribute approximately 20% of long-term Co-60 supply and may reach roughly 50% in certain years due to variability at other reactor sites. EO supply in the United States comes from a single supplier with redundant production facilities. Applied Sterilization Technologies, a segment of STERIS plc, is the main global competitor to Sterigenics. Nelson Labs provides over 900 microbiological and analytical chemistry test types.

Show full overview

Sotera Health faces an EO litigation overhang that could weigh on financial results. The company is currently defending lawsuits in California, Georgia, Illinois, and New Mexico alleging personal injury and property devaluation related to EO emissions from current and former facilities. Environmental liability insurance explicitly excludes EO claims, meaning settlements or adverse judgments would be largely uninsured. Compounding this, the single ocean carrier licensed to transport Co-60 from Russia to North America holds logistics licenses subject to renewal in 2026 and 2027 under the current sanctions framework — if those licenses cannot be renewed, Co-60 supply from Russian reactors could be disrupted.

See also: Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

From Sotera Health Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: EO single supplier
Thin upside margin: 9.1%
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.1
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA11.7
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE22.7%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta1.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV106%elevated
Max Pain$18+9.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierEO single supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'in the United States there is a single supplier for EO for our sterilization business'
  • MEDIUMSupplierRussian nuclear reactors
    10-K Item 1A: 'We estimate approximately 20% of our long-term supply of Co-60 will be generated by Russian nuclear reactors... may increase to as much as approximately 50%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-13Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Stockholders Agreement (dated November 19, 2020) among Sotera Health and Sponsor-affiliated stockholders terminated May 13, 2026 per its terms, following secondary offering of 31,838,253 shares at $15.168/share by Selling Stockholders via Goldman Sachs.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Sotera Health announced leadership transition effective May 1, 2026 per executive succession plans; specific departing and incoming officer details not fully available (8-K body truncated in source).
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Constantine Mihas resigned as Class I director effective March 16, 2026, due to reduction in director designation rights for Sponsors. No disagreement cited. Kenneth Krause appointed as replacement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Healthcare 1/10RecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.79Resistance $16.82

Price Targets

$14
$15
$18
A.Upside+9.1%
A.R:R1.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.7%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.06. At $16.04 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.06 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: EO single supplier; Thin upside margin: 9.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $17.50 (+9.1%), stop $14.09 (−13.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.50 (+11.7% upside). Target $17.50 (+9.1%), stop $14.09 (−13.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $14.09.

What are the risks of investing in SHC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: EO single supplier; Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5.

Is SHC overvalued or undervalued?

Sotera Health Company trades at a P/E of 39.1 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SHC?

15 analysts cover SHC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Sotera Health Company do?Sotera Health provides outsourced sterilization (Sterigenics, Nordion) and lab testing (Nelson Labs) to medical device...

Sotera Health provides outsourced sterilization (Sterigenics, Nordion) and lab testing (Nelson Labs) to medical device and pharmaceutical companies across 62 global facilities in 13 countries. Services are mandatory for regulatory compliance; customers in 2025 included over 40 of the top 50 medical device companies. Multi-year contracts covered 90%+ of Sterigenics and Nordion revenues.

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