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Sotera Health Company (SHC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single EO supplier (United States); Concentration risk — Supplier: Russian nuclear reactors (Co-60 supply) (20.0%).

Sotera Health provides mission-critical sterilization services (Sterigenics) and lab testing (Nelson Labs) to the global healthcare industry across 62 facilities worldwide. Services are essential for regulatory compliance by medical device and pharmaceutical manufacturers... Read more

$15.37+16.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 25 Diagnostics & Research
Stop $14.54Target $17.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$20.50+33.4%8 analysts
$17.84our TP
$15.37price
$20.50mean
$24

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single EO supplier (United States); Concentration risk — Supplier: Russian nuclear reactors (Co-60 supply) (20.0%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single EO supplier (United States)
Concentration risk — Supplier: Russian nuclear reactors (Co-60 supply) (20.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.2
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn6.7%
ROE15.4%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta1.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$30+95.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle EO supplier (United States)
    10-K Item 1A: 'in the United States there is a single supplier for EO for our sterilization business'
  • HIGHSupplierRussian nuclear reactors (Co-60 supply)20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'We estimate approximately 20% of our long-term supply of Co-60 will be generated by Russian nuclear reactors'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Director Constantine S. Mihas resigned March 16, 2026 due to reduced stockholder designation rights; not related to any disagreement. Kenneth D. Krause (EVP/CFO of Rollins, Inc.) appointed Class I director effective March 16, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    SVP and General Counsel Alex Dimitrief provided notice of departure on February 18, 2026. No reason cited; no successor named at time of filing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-05Item 5.02LOW
    Board increased size from 11 to 12 directors and appointed Richard G. Kyle (former President/CEO of The Timken Company) as Class III director effective February 4, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.6
Value Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
5.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.2
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.46Resistance $16.54

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.37 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: single EO supplier (United States); Concentration risk — Supplier: Russian nuclear reactors (Co-60 supply) (20.0%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $14.54. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the SHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.84 (+16.0% upside). Prior stop was $14.54. Stop-loss: $14.54.

What are the risks of investing in SHC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single EO supplier (United States); Concentration risk — Supplier: Russian nuclear reactors (Co-60 supply) (20.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5.

Is SHC overvalued or undervalued?

Sotera Health Company trades at a P/E of 57.2 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SHC?

15 analysts cover SHC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $21.

What does Sotera Health Company do?Sotera Health provides mission-critical sterilization services (Sterigenics) and lab testing (Nelson Labs) to the...

Sotera Health provides mission-critical sterilization services (Sterigenics) and lab testing (Nelson Labs) to the global healthcare industry across 62 facilities worldwide. Services are essential for regulatory compliance by medical device and pharmaceutical manufacturers globally.

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